Bye Bye Kerry Supporters

[Jimbo]

We are just a few days away from all these fly by night Kerry supporters slithering out the door. Personally I can hardly wait for the election to be over so Bush can get back to killing Arab terrorists and putting the fear of God into Europe. Our economy will boom the day after the election and President Bush is reelected. The psychiatrists will be making a fortune from Democrats who refused to believe that Kerry was just a loser from start to finish. Poker tables will be full of on-tilt Demmie fish throwing away their money, just like their campaign contributions.

An added benefit will be the Republican gains in the Senate. We are guaranteed to have 53 seats in the majority after the election and may edge up to 55. A couple of more election cycles and the Demmies will be but a figurehead party in reality as well as appearances. When they lose their power to prevent political appointments what will they do? All the radical Democratic principles of fixing elections, fillibustering judicial appointments and pork barrel spending will soon be over.

Life in America is about to undergo a radical change for the better. The Democrats are along for the ride in spite of themselves. Who says life is fair? However I wouldn't have it any other way. After all someone has to take care of the misinformed.

Flame away as the bombs drop and the terrorists die.


PS: No hard feelings I understand that being a Democrat is something that you cannot help. Whether it be a genetic flaw or a product of your environment some conditions just cannot be overcome with reason.


Jimbo

[Non_Comformist]

I don't know Jimbo,

I am pretty worried. It seems as though many Republican's think Kerry is going to win Ohio and are instead counting on Bush winning a combination of Iowa, Wisconsin and New Mexico. I just can't shake this gut feeling though that if Bush can't win Ohio, he is not going to take left leaning states.

I hope your right.

[goldcowboy]

You have just described my vision of Nirvana.

[Dynasty]

[ QUOTE ]
I am pretty worried. It seems as though many Republican's think Kerry is going to win Ohio...

[/ QUOTE ]

It should be be a nailbiter in Ohio. Kerry was up in the polls recently. But, Saturday's polls from Zogby, Mason-Dixon, Cleveland Plain Dealer (big newspaper), and Rasmussen all have Bush ahead.

Bush supporters could even argue about how good the Ohio polls are since both the Zogby and Plain Dealer poll leads are outside the margin of error.

Lots of states are going to be within 3 points one way or the other. It's possible we won't know who wins the Presidency until hours after the polls close in Hawaii.

[Thythe]

This thread reminds me of a thread that was posted a week or so ago that read "bye bye bosox fans" or something along those lines. I've already bookmarked this thread in case Kerry wins. Now I want him to win just so I can post here again.

[Jimbo]

[ QUOTE ]
I've already bookmarked this thread in case Kerry wins. Now I want him to win just so I can post here again.


[/ QUOTE ]

This is the first good reason for wanting Kerry to win that I've seen posted on this forum. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]


Jimbo

[SinCityGuy]

Even including those new Ohio polls, Bush's average number in Ohio is 47.4, which is horrible for an incumbent president.

Look at these average numbers for Bush in the battleground states:

Ohio - 47.4
Pennsylvania - 46.7
Wisconsin - 46.3
Minnesota - 47.3
Michigan - 44.8
New Hampshire - 46.5


He's in better shape in Florida and Iowa, but still showing poorly for an incumbent. Right on the cusp for having a chance to win.

Florida - 48.5
Iowa - 48.4

Bush needs to track up at least to the high 48's by Monday to have a decent chance in these states.

[lastchance]

I'm going to give you 20 to 1 odds that the Bush will not be able to get back to being the President and that Democrats will not just shut up and go on tilt berserk.

If you think it's a stupid bet, it isn't. Why? Because the Dems have lawyers. Don't you love the new political process where everything is decided by lawyers a month after election has taken place?

[Cyrus]

Here's an interesting and meticulous blog maintained by a Princeton U professor. (I, of course, find it "interesting" because the professor leans Kerry in his analysis! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] )

Sample: "...Imagine that in a race between candidates K and B, and K needs to win at least one of Florida or Ohio to win the presidency, while other states do not matter. (This is not that far from the truth, and is simplified to make a clear example.)
<font color="red"> If K's chance of winning either one is 40% (odds 3-to-2 against), then his probability of winning at least one is higher, 64% (odds 16-to-9 in favor).</font> In this case his median number of electoral votes would be more than 270 EV, but a map would show both Florida and Ohio red. In fact, the sum of electoral votes in states with probability greater than 50-50 for K would be less than 270 EV.

Bonus explanation for real geeks:

If the probability of winning Florida (27 electoral votes) is F and the probability of winning Ohio (20 electoral votes) is O, then the probability distribution for all the combinations (0, 20, 27 and 47 EV) can be expressed as the coefficients of the polynomial

[(1-F) + F * x^27] * [(1-O) + O * x^20]

where x is just a placeholder variable.

As you can also see, when the number of possibilities is large (in the millions or more) this is far faster than going through each combination explicitly. In fact, it reduces the calculation from exponential time to polynomial time."



Electoral College Meta-Analysis

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[jokerswild]

What are you going to do ? Kill everyone that realizs that bush is a fascist dictator?

You would have made a good German citizen in the 1932 election. Truly, your poorly thought out positions deserve a salute of vomit in your face.