I dunno how much to bet on the end, 5/10 PLHE

James282 · #1 03-03-2005, 05:17 PM

Opponent just sat down. No notes. Is this a proper value bet, or might I be just as well off shoving it all in since he is shortstacked?

Party Poker Pot-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) converter

saw flop|saw showdown

BB ($1901.25)
UTG ($190)
MP ($2476.5)
CO ($1167)
Hero ($1714.75)
SB ($1487.5)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5.
2 folds, CO calls $10, Hero raises to $45, 2 folds, CO calls $35.

Flop: ($105) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $102, CO calls $102.

Turn: ($309) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $306, CO calls $306.

River: ($921) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $350.

stlcards3 · #2 03-03-2005, 05:33 PM

what makes you so inclined to bet the river anyways?

DOTTT · #3 03-03-2005, 05:33 PM

Looks good to me.

James282 · #4 03-03-2005, 05:34 PM

I think I have the best hand. I'm value bettor by trade, I play limit.
-James

stlcards3 · #5 03-03-2005, 05:36 PM

then yes that seems like a good value bet.

kirisim · #6 03-03-2005, 05:45 PM

I'm sure you know this, but it's a question of whether you have the best hand when you are called.

That being said, I would give him A7. I think $350 is the right bet.

turnipmonster · #7 03-03-2005, 05:53 PM

the only thing that's problematic about this amount is you are effectively pot committed (i.e. you are not folding for ~400 more), yet most times he raises when he's winning and only calls when you are winning, thus you miss some value.

--turnipmonster

Ulysses · #8 03-03-2005, 06:04 PM

I would check behind. I don't think you'll be called enough by 78s or A7s or whatever enough to make up for the times you lose.

Jason Strasser · #9 03-03-2005, 06:09 PM

I disagree. What do you have him on? Unless this guy is extremely tricky, I think you can put him on 88 99 A7 or even like a two-pair that hates that the bottom card is paired. I dunno, I think betting is good. In the right spot here I might even shove it all in because its not even a pot sized bet and you can expect calls when you are ahead.

-Jason

turnipmonster · #10 03-03-2005, 06:15 PM

my vote is 88/99.