Continuing on every street, a Party 10/20 hand

[AZK]

haven't read the reviews, but hate it. What do you put him on? Guys with his stats aren't calling a turn bet with TT against you.

[creedofhubris]

A 2/3 pot river bluff needs to win about 40% of the time to break even (assuming your hand is never good if you check behind, which is pretty safe assumption here.)

I'd say the average player will fold about 30% of the time here, so your bet is slightly -EV.

This bluff works better if you pick up a face card on the river, if you caught the Q or even the J you'd be more likely to get a fold IMO.