Making my set on the turn

[Jester999]

For you pokertracker fiends, the villain in this hand is a
10/5 guy over about 400 hands with a postflop agression factor of 6. If he's been watching (and I suspect he has), he'll see me as 18/8 in this session with like 2.75 postflop.

The minraise on the turn threw me off a bit as in my experience it means a big hand. Maybe this guy has a smaller set, A3, or just a medium pair and is trying to push my around. As a matter of full disclosure, it's only my second time at this level so I'm getting used to it.

Thoughts?


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 10 handed) converter

SB ($392)
BB ($157)
<font color="red">Hero ($465.83)</font>
UTG+1 ($384)
UTG+2 ($190.4)
MP1 ($232.16)
MP2 ($200.84)
MP3 ($198.9)
CO ($462.2)
<font color="red">Button Villain ($716.92)</font>

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
Hero calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Villain calls $4, SB (poster) completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($20) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, MP2 folds, Villain calls $20, SB folds, BB folds.

Turn: ($60) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $40</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villain raises to $80</font>, Hero calls $40.

River: ($220) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain bets $150</font>, Hero calls $150.

Final Pot: $520