Losing streak, or have I gotten worse?

[Kandahar]

I've been playing the $11 SNGs on Party Poker for about two weeks now. After 92 games, I'm making an average profit of $2.46 per game. However, almost all of that is from the first week of play. From May 31 to June 5, I played 42 games and made $200 (reaching a peak of $6.02 per game). Since then, I've played 50 games and have only broke even. Is this a cause for concern that my game is getting worse, or is my sample size too small to draw any conclusion?

I've replayed my games from the week when I was winning, and don't notice any significant changes in my game play.

[The Yugoslavian]

I hate you.

Please die a very slow and very painful death.

Yugoslav

[Karak567]

[ QUOTE ]
I hate you.

Please die a very slow and very painful death.

Yugoslav

[/ QUOTE ]

lolz

[11t]

It could either be you not being good or normal variance.

Just keep playing and if you go broke a few times just keep tryiing and getting better.

[Freudian]

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Is this a cause for concern that my game is getting worse, or is my sample size too small to draw any conclusion?

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Here is what I am wondering. If you suspect your sample size is to small to draw any conclusions why didn't you do a search of these forums to confirm that it indeed is too small instead of posting this topic?

[Kandahar]

I usually think of a winning/losing streak as three or four games in a row of finishing ITM or not finishing ITM. You don't think there are necessarily any patterns from 42 games of averaging $6/game, followed by 50 games of averaging $0/game?

[lastchance]

Let me answer that with something that will clear your mind completely.

ROFLMAO.

[OrcaDK]

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I usually think of a winning/losing streak as three or four games in a row of finishing ITM or not finishing ITM. You don't think there are necessarily any patterns from 42 games of averaging $6/game, followed by 50 games of averaging $0/game?

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No, i don't think there's any pattern. A loosing streak can be 500+ SnG's, better get prepared.

[45suited]

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I usually think of a winning/losing streak as three or four games in a row of finishing ITM or not finishing ITM. You don't think there are necessarily any patterns from 42 games of averaging $6/game, followed by 50 games of averaging $0/game?

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes, you are in the infamous "average $6 for 50 games, $0 for 42 games pattern".

This pattern is gone into in great detail in all great poker books. This is a very, very bad pattern and indicates that your play is in a rut that it will probably never recover from.

[Iamafish]

If you wanna find out if you've gotten worse, don't ask, just keep playing. How are we supposed to know with just some stupid statistical data you have?