Another winrate thread - Page 4

HoldEmKillah · #31 11-03-2005, 02:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
My bankroll had a 15 buyin swing over 24 hours in the last few days.

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Dear god.

Yeti · #32 11-03-2005, 02:53 PM

Down 8, then up 15, then down 5.

Crazy. The previous couple of days were much the same too.

Rocaix · #33 11-03-2005, 03:03 PM

Discussing winrates over small sample sizes (e.g. less than 40K) isn't useful at all. Even at 40K, all your winrate really tells you is that your results are likely to be directionally correct.

Everybody grossly underestimates the degree variance influences their results when their running good, and grossly overestimates variance's effects when their running bad.
At one point you will run so good for such an extended period, you start thinking about whooping Spirit Rock heads-up at 100/200. Then at another point, you will run worse then you could've possibly have concieved for longer than you could possibly believe, and convince yourself poker is rigged.

When they talk about the long-term, it really is quite a long time.

#34 11-03-2005, 03:05 PM

9 ptBB/100 @ 10-25 over 175k hands.

Voltron87 · #35 11-03-2005, 03:08 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Discussing winrates over small sample sizes (e.g. less than 40K) isn't useful at all. Even at 40K, all your winrate really tells you is that your results are likely to be directionally correct.

Everybody grossly underestimates the degree variance influences their results when their running good, and grossly overestimates variance's effects when their running bad.
At one point you will run so good for such an extended period, you start thinking about whooping Spirit Rock heads-up at 100/200. Then at another point, you will run worse then you could've possibly have concieved for longer than you could possibly believe, and convince yourself poker is rigged.

When they talk about the long-term, it really is quite a long time.

[/ QUOTE ]

all very true. my problem is i know all this, but when im looking at stats for a month and i have to round my decimal winrate up just to get a number, i get pissed off. losing 6 buy ins takes me from a happy rational place to a sad irrational one where i worry about my winrate. [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

unlucky513 · #36 11-03-2005, 03:12 PM

[ QUOTE ]
9 ptBB/100 @ 10-25 over 175k hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

shouldnt your name be La Diablo?

BobboFitos · #37 11-03-2005, 03:21 PM

gimmick accounts = dont go for vernacular accuracy

Opraman · #38 11-03-2005, 03:37 PM

[ QUOTE ]
gimmick accounts = dont go for vernacular accuracy

[/ QUOTE ]

They also suck at spelling.

[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Wu36 · #39 11-03-2005, 03:50 PM

FWIW, I ran at 10ptbb/100 for my first 15k at 5/10, 7ptbb after 35k and was at 3.8 when I hit 55k.

#40 11-03-2005, 04:14 PM

that's about the truest [censored] i've heard you say.