Getting and Losing with AA 3x in a row

mother of God, where did you get that avatar?

[tomdemaine]

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Odds of AA on one hand -- 1 in 221.
Odds of AA in three consecutive hands 1 in 221^3 = 1 in 10,793,861. If we estimate your chances of losing all three at 20%, you get 1 in 53,969,305.

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So what are the chances of it happening considering Absolute poker has dealt 247093544 hands to this point?

[jstbuch]

thanks for the help...

[ohnonotthat]

[ QUOTE ]


Btw, I think it does not make much sense to ask for the probability of an event once it has happened. Every combination of hands that is dealt on a ten player table has a very low probability before the cards are dealt. I don't understand why people are asking all these questions like: "How likely is it to get a straigt, a flush, trips, two pair, and a straight in a row?" What will they do with the answer?

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What will they do with the answer ?



Obviously they'll use it as "proof" that the game is rigged. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

[ohnonotthat]

1 - [ (53,969,304 / 53,969,305) to the nth ] where n = 247,093,544