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#1
06-11-2005, 12:39 PM
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5+5 deep stack river decision
Villian is in small blind. He's a tough thinking TAG. He may be capable of big bluffs but probably very rarely. He has 1600 and i have him covered. He probably views me as a solid player (we have not played much together)
I have QQ and open from MP for 35. 4 callers including both blinds Flop ($175) 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] checked to me and i bet $175. SB calls and everybody else folds. Turn (525) 10 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] check, i bet $400, villian thinks for a long time and calls. river (1325) J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] villian moves all in for $1010. If villian had flopped a BIG hand, i'm sure he would have played it quickly on this board. I think he would have reraised AA or KK pre-flop. I was pretty sure he was on a draw until he moved in on the river and then i was very confused. What's villians most likely hand? Should i call this river? 
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#5
06-11-2005, 01:43 PM
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Re: 5+5 deep stack river decision
JJ, 7c9c, or a busted fd.You have to be right over 40% of time to call here.JJ is a little unlikely as he did'nt raise flop with 2 clubs, but if he read for you for an overpair, his line for JJ is understandable.If he is not bluffing, i see 7c9c very easily.
I dont think you can call here, this is an awful spot for him to bluff after you've been betting flop and turn hard. If he checks river do u check behind?
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#6
06-11-2005, 01:52 PM
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Re: 5+5 deep stack river decision
[ QUOTE ]
You have to be right over 40% of time to call here [/ QUOTE ] I'm getting 2.3 to 1 so i need to be right 30.3% of the time [ QUOTE ] If he checks river do u check behind? [/ QUOTE ] Definitely!
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#7
06-11-2005, 01:52 PM
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Re: 5+5 deep stack river decision
Would Ac Jc make this move?
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#8
06-11-2005, 01:56 PM
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Re: 5+5 deep stack river decision
Sorry, my bad...
If you check this behind then you have to fold this. Villain knows you probably will check behind if he is a tough thinking TAG, and is trying to get some value for his hand. I muck.Results?
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#9
06-11-2005, 02:00 PM
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Re: 5+5 deep stack river decision
[ QUOTE ]
Would Ac Jc make this move? [/ QUOTE ] I was 99.99% sure my opponent would not show me AJ if i called! It's either a bluff / missed draw, Jc10c, or JJ...Those are the only hands i could see my opponent holding
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