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#1
11-05-2005, 01:57 AM
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(11) - AQ , call this push?
Do you call this Limp push from UTG Shorty?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (7 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx MP1 (t2490) MP2 (t1350) Hero (t730) Button (t665) SB (t1250) BB (t1040) UTG (t475) Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, UTG calls t30, [color=#666666]2 folds</font>, [color=#CC3333]Hero raises to t90</font>, [color=#666666]2 folds</font>,UTG Pushes, Hero.....? 
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#4
11-05-2005, 02:25 AM
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Re: (11) - AQ , call this push?
I'd call. You only need to win 38% to break even. I'm assuming villian is not that good since he's already lost half his chips on level 2 unless he got sucked out on or something like that. So he could be pushing a lot here. Especially at the $11 where nothing surprises me anymore. You're probably 45% to win and maybe even dominating him. Yeah sometimes he'll catch you with AK, AA-QQ but on average I'd call this.
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#5
11-05-2005, 02:50 AM
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Re: (11) - AQ , call this push?
Nope.
This REEKS of AA.
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#6
11-05-2005, 04:13 AM
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Re: (11) - AQ , call this push?
That raise to 90 is no good! it's gotta be more.
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#7
11-05-2005, 11:21 AM
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Re: (11) - AQ , call this push?
Fold ICM: .0893
Call & Win ICM: .1638 Call & Lose ICM: .0374 .0893= x(.1638) + (1-x)(.0374) .0893-.0374= .1638x-.0374x .0519= .1264x x= .41 Technically 41%, but you're pretty close. I think you'll be 41% here fairly frequently against his hand ranges. This being said, I think you may want to wait because I feel that you may be able to better use your stack on the bubble at an $11. I'm personally not taking the risk this early in a low buyin tournament. The math seems to justify it, but it does not take into account the ability to use a stack later, which may outweigh the gain in this call. It's close though. -SonnyJay
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