Help me explain this to a non-believer

[sthief09]

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Measure the luck in cards.

Each board card contains 20% of the luck in a hand.

In NL fewer hands go to the river because the pot odds just aren't there. They end after the flop instead. Therefore they are missing 40% of the luck of the board.

Less luck = less variance.

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I don't know whether this is serious or not

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I think it's a good way to explain to someone who doesn't really understand. it's not really "wrong" per se and it makes a lot of sense

[jman220]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Measure the luck in cards.

Each board card contains 20% of the luck in a hand.

In NL fewer hands go to the river because the pot odds just aren't there. They end after the flop instead. Therefore they are missing 40% of the luck of the board.

Less luck = less variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know whether this is serious or not

[/ QUOTE ]


I think it's a good way to explain to someone who doesn't really understand. it's not really "wrong" per se and it makes a lot of sense

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, the fact that more hands in NL don't go to Turn/River/Showdown then in limit would seem to be a limiting factor in variance. Its just a funny way of putting it.

[BottlesOf]

Yea. I'd also add that in NL skilled players can have bigger edges over the clueless. Bigger edges generaly lead to less variance, all things being equal.