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Old 12-28-2005, 12:34 AM
Russ McGinley Russ McGinley is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Can\'t beat .50/1
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Default Re: 6/12 Laydown - Is this what Ed Miller means by pot\'s too big?

This is like straight outta SSHE. While you are in a bad position with two players left and possible raising behind you, your immediate call is getting like 18.5-1 or so. Are you 95% sure you're beat here? I actually just got done rereading this section over the Christmas break so its kinda fresh + still open on my desk:

pg148, bullet point #4: Call liberally for one bet on the river, even when you are almost sure you are beaten.

pg151, last paragraph: "It is almost impossible to read your opponent for a (better hand) with 95 percent certainty. Do not fold in large pots for one bet on the river if there is some chance you might win.

It looks grim for you but you have to call this. If there is a lot of action behind you, then you can think about folding. But consider the fact that the other two players have already checked so its not a given you are beat by either of them.
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