3/6 6m JJ

[DeathDonkey]

I just can't see him folding an overpair. Especially if he is solid. You haven't represented a better hand here.

-DeathDonkey

[JoshuaD]

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I don't think that CO has overcards.

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You know the player well? I can see alot of TAG's playing AK exactly as this guy played it.

[jason_t]

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I don't think that CO has overcards.

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You know the player well? I can see alot of TAG's playing AK exactly as this guy played it.

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Would you play AK this way?

[baronzeus]

Jason,

I like the idea behind the river raise (because CO's range is probably KK-JJ (usually not AA), based on the flop and the turn) but I don't think KK-JJ folds here if he is truly solid. There is no way that the 5 helped you and he knows that, and he also knows that UTG is mentally retarded and his bets mean nothing.

All I'm saying is that a good TAG should call 2 here.



Edit: Actually I'm not sure. it's close, still considering how often he folds. Even given the fact that UTG is a moron the fear of it being capped around might make him sick and fold.

[baronzeus]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
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I don't think that CO has overcards.

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You know the player well? I can see alot of TAG's playing AK exactly as this guy played it.

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Would you play AK this way?

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no, AK should fold the flop, because too often it is drawing dead/reverse dominated.

[baronzeus]

OK i've made an executive decision. Risking 2 bets to win the 17 is worth it. You are either losing or splitting with CO 95% of the time unless he isn't actually solid and raised the flop with overs.