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  #11  
Old 10-29-2004, 11:45 AM
Peca277 Peca277 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Proud to be almost Canadian
Posts: 181
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Bush
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Kerry
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Kerry

Kerry + 1.1%
Kerry 284- Bush 254
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  #12  
Old 10-30-2004, 11:07 AM
El Barto El Barto is offline
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Posts: 119
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

My Prediction:
Kerry picks up NH
Bush picks up WI,IA,NM
Bush 296 Kerry 242
Senate GOP 52 seats

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  #13  
Old 10-30-2004, 12:17 PM
ctv1116 ctv1116 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Princeton, NJ
Posts: 124
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

AR (6)--Bush
CO (9)--Bush
IA (7)--Bush
FL (27)--Bush
HI (4) --Kerry
ME (4)--Kerry
MN (10)--Kerry
MI (17)--Kerry
MO (11)--Bush
NH (4)--Kerry
NJ (15)--Kerry
NM (5)--Bush
NV (5)--Bush
OH (20)--Bush
OR (7)--Kerry
PA (21)--Kerry
WV (5)--Bush
WA (11)--Kerry
WI (10)--Bush
Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Bush by 2.5%
Electoral Result: Bush wins 296-242
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  #14  
Old 10-30-2004, 03:05 PM
LinusKS LinusKS is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 480
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

AR (6) Bush
CO (9) Bush
IA (7) Bush
FL (27) Bush
HI (4) Kerry
ME (4) Kerry
MN (10) Kerry
MI (17) Kerry
MO (11) Bush
NH (4) Kerry
NJ (15) Kerry
NM (5) Bush
NV (5) Bush
OH (20) Kerry
OR (7) Kerry
PA (21) Kerry
WV (5) Bush
WA (11) Kerry
WI (10) Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry by 1.5%

Electoral Result: (Kerry) 272 v. 266 (Conservative guesstimate - FL could go either way, IA a Kerry possibility as well.)
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  #15  
Old 10-30-2004, 03:20 PM
LinusKS LinusKS is offline
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Posts: 480
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

lorinda -

Another possibility (for a tie) - Bush carries OH and WI, but loses FL.

A tie is not out of the question.
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  #16  
Old 10-30-2004, 04:21 PM
El Barto El Barto is offline
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Posts: 119
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

from the Washington Post, predictions from pundits and politicos:

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  #17  
Old 10-30-2004, 04:59 PM
Matty Matty is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 14
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Kerry
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Bush
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Bush

Kerry 296
Bush 242

Popular Vote: Kerry +1.8
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  #18  
Old 10-30-2004, 05:28 PM
LaggyLou LaggyLou is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 44
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

Bush
AR (6)
CO (9)
IA (7)
FL (27)
MO (11)
NM (5)
NV (5)
WV (5)



Kerry
HI (4)
ME (4)
MN (10)
MI (17)
NH (4)
NJ (15)
OH (20)
OR (7)
PA (21)
WA (11)
WI (10)

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +1.0

Electoral Result: Kerry 272 Bush 266
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  #19  
Old 10-30-2004, 05:42 PM
Knockwurst Knockwurst is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: NYC
Posts: 3
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

AR (6) -- Bush
CO (9) -- Bush
IA (7) -- Bush
FL (27) -- Bush
HI (4) -- Kerry
ME (4) -- Kerry
MN (10) -- Kerry
MI (17) -- Kerry
MO (11) -- Bush
NH (4) -- Kerry
NJ (15) -- Kerry
NM (5) -- Bush
NV (5) -- Bush
OH (20) -- Kerry
OR (7) -- Kerry
PA (21) -- Kerry
WV (5) -- Bush
WA (11) -- Kerry
WI (10) -- Kerry
Popular Vote margin: Bush 1.2%
Electoral Result: Kerry 272-266
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  #20  
Old 10-30-2004, 07:02 PM
David Steele David Steele is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 428
Default Re: Swing State prediction contest

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Kerry
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Bush
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Bush
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +0.9
Electoral Result: Kerry 286, Bush 252.

D.
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