Keeping the Bubble Alive to gain $EV

[GtrHtr]

I’ve been analyzing this post by Scuba Chuck. In the very last paragraph he writes this:

[ QUOTE ]
But back to the bigstack (‘cos we’re discussing proper bubble play). As you can see, in theory, bigstack doesn’t want to win this hand against shorty, as he transfers 21.6% of $EV to the other two stacks. (You can see that shorty has 24.4% of equity if he wins, but if big stack wins, he only gains 2.8% of equity) So in theory, again, bigstack really does not want to have a good hand here.

[/ QUOTE ]

On to the hand:

Preflop, the $EV of each stack is:
Seat 2: axbear ( $770 ) 20.9%
Seat 3: Hero ( $6420 ) 42.2%
Seat 9: galziegrl ( $2660 ) 32.6%
Seat 10: rrichone ( $150 ) 4.3%

Assume that shorty has top 50% of hands, perhaps 30% and 2d stack has any 2. If I fold, and shorty wins against 2d stack, shorty has 450 chips. Then assume I raise on the next hand, with a worse hand, and try and funnel chips to shorty, keeping the bubble alive to increase my $EV.

Also, if I fold and 2d stack wins the transfer of $EV is fairly irrelevant.

Thoughts?


***** Hand History for Game 2322140396 *****
NL Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Entry Fee Trny:13712624 Level:8 Blinds(200/400)
Table Table 12197 (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: axbear ( $770 )
Seat 3: Hero ( $6420 )
Seat 9: galziegrl ( $2660 )
Seat 10: rrichone ( $150 )
Trny:13712624 Level:8
Blinds(200/400)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 6c 6d ]