EAGLES -4.5

[BobbyD]

I'm leaning the other way actually...

The Eagles have the best Def Coord and the 2nd best defensive mind in the NFL in Jim Johnson.

Guys like Belichick and Johnson live for scheming against one-dimensional offenses.

If it were not for the scarey performance of Vick on
Saturday and the relatively thorough but comparatively unimpressive victory by the Eagles - this line is at 6.5 or 7.

I think the value might be a play on the Eagles.

[CCx]

After locking in on the Eagles -4.5 early, the rest of my money for this game is officially going on the under, before it gets bet down any further. Looks like it's going to be a fun weekend here in Philadelphia, get your shovels ready.

[CCx]

The line appears to be moving to -5 or -5.5 in Vegas, the online books still have it at -4.5 for now....also the o/u has moved to 40, expect it to continue to move lower...

[Waterproof]

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i challenge somebody to explain why i shouldn't be putting a quarter on this

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Did I do it? [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]


[ QUOTE ]
I can't see any reason to lay points on Philly... I could be wrong...

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After careful consideration, I just laid points on Philly... I could still be wrong...

[kdog]

[ QUOTE ]
After careful consideration, I just laid points on Philly... I could still be wrong...

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you're OK here. Eagles have the better defense, better passing attack, more big game experience and are playing at home against a dome team. Atlanta has Michael Vick who will be the best running back but not the best quarterback on the field. I was surprised this opened so low.The blowout of the Rams kept it down I guess which is fine by me. Eagles by 7 or more.

[Shoe]

The reason is because Atlanta is going to mop the floor with Philly.

[TeenerBall]

How well does Atlanta play outdoors in January, in probable snow? I don't think they are prepared for the Linc.

Philly 20, birds 13

Of course this is just a guess

[junkmail3]

[ QUOTE ]
The reason is because Atlanta is going to mop the floor with Philly.

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Check out this stat: (something reasonably close)
Teams that have won a divisional playoff by 7 points or more the week before, an easy game, and have missed the playoffs the year before, and go to play on the road in the conference championship game are 2-26.

In other words:
Atlanta missed the playoffs in 2003 (last year)
Atlanta won by more than 7, huge game.
Atlanta has gone further than anyone expected, played in the playoffs and won a huge game.
Atlanta's season is a success and has been validated.
Philly's hasn't.

It's an interesting stat.

[stickman]

Snow what? This is the same Michael Vick no one gave a chance to in frigid Green Bay a couple of years ago. I'm from Missouri when it comes to Philly....they gotta show me before I believe.

[Shoe]

Anyone can come up with any combinations of stats they want, to try to make their bet look good. But what it comes down to (usually), is that statistics from past years are not an indicator on how teams will perform next week or next year.

Green Bay was undefeated at home in the playoffs until 3 years ago. Now they have lost 2 of their last 3 home playoff games.