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#12
11-20-2005, 10:04 PM
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Re: ugly 30/60 river c/r
on the turn i'm {f=0, c=10, r=90} - partly for value, but largely to protect
if UTG+1 isn't in the hand I'm {0, 50, 50} to be sneaky river is like {c=5, b=95} - he's got Jx here often enough after the c/r I get really sad 
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#13
11-21-2005, 12:21 AM
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Re: ugly 30/60 river c/r
i would be happy to raise the turn.
on the river i would bet... when you get checkraised, i think he has AJ about 99.2% of the time. sry.
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#14
11-21-2005, 04:37 AM
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Re: ugly 30/60 river c/r
heh, i would [0,0,100] the turn and [100,0,0] the river.
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#16
11-21-2005, 10:30 AM
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Re: ugly 30/60 river c/r
It seems like everyone else likes the river bet. I dont, and since I am less experienced than almost everyone here I am wondering what I am missing.
I do not see what hand we are placing him on here. He cold-called preflop UTG+2 and do not seem to have a pair (silent on the low flop), but still stayed through the flop bet. Then he bet the turn jack. This should normally be a jack (probably AJ for the preflop call), the flush or a semi-bluff with the flush A. I really do not see many hands that calls the river bet and lose. Are we hoping KJs/QJs/JTs would CC preflop and call the flop bet? And do we really think this is more probable than ace or better? (Also: I would raise the turn)
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