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  #11  
Old 08-08-2005, 11:21 AM
John Cole John Cole is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

Awaiting Cyrus's reply. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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  #12  
Old 08-08-2005, 03:14 PM
chezlaw chezlaw is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 97%

[ QUOTE ]
Quote:
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1. The probably of God's existence is one in two. That is, God either exists or doesn't.


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The probability that this die will land on six is one in two. That is, Either it'll land on six, or it won't. Since I'm a nice guy I'll lay you 2:1 on this 1:1 proposition, k? We'll play till I go broke.

[/ QUOTE ]

Much as I hate the thought of defending Swinburne from anything, he did not make that mistake. He has a, no doubt potty, argument to justify god existing more than 50% of the time, its not a deduction from god exists or doesn't. [if memory serves, D'Alembert did makes this error but he was a mathematician [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]]

Has anyone any reason to believe there are mathematical/logical errors in the rest of his argument rather than just some highly dubious assumptions.

chez
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  #13  
Old 08-08-2005, 04:49 PM
Piz0wn0reD!!!!!! Piz0wn0reD!!!!!! is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

if this is a real proof, i am a professor of quantum mechanics at stanford.
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  #14  
Old 08-08-2005, 05:24 PM
Cyrus Cyrus is offline
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Default Morongo !

[ QUOTE ]
1. The probably of God's existence is one in two. That is, God either exists or doesn't.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yep. As Prof. Mike Caro posited, "In the beginning everything was even money".

[ QUOTE ]
2. The probability that God became incarnate, that is embodied in human form, is also one in two.

[/ QUOTE ]
Are there only two forms? I musta missed something. Why couldn't God become incarnate in some other carnal form? Wouldn't a Talking Donkey be much more persuasive than Jesus riding a donkey?

[ QUOTE ]
3. The evidence for God's existence is an argument for the resurrection.

[/ QUOTE ]
Not according to the Hebrew Testament! Call BossJJ for details.

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4. The chance of Christ's resurrection not being reported by the gospels has a probability of one in 10.

[/ QUOTE ]
So one in ten times a text that's supposed to be born specifically out of the resurrection would NOT mention at all the resurrection ??

Who's putting out those lines? If that was a sports book, it would have closed after one hour, tops.

[ QUOTE ]
5. Considering all these factors together, there is a one in 1,000 chance that the resurrection is not true.

[/ QUOTE ]
Can't wait for the arithmetic.
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  #15  
Old 08-08-2005, 09:21 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Morongo !

As a Christian, I believe it is especially important for me to dismiss this garbage. Nuts like this professor do a lot of damage to other Christians, at least in the eyes of non-Christians.
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  #16  
Old 08-08-2005, 09:21 PM
lastchance lastchance is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

Probability of this guy needing a math degree: 100%.
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  #17  
Old 08-08-2005, 09:49 PM
PairTheBoard PairTheBoard is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

The Great Swinburne-Sklansky Debate. Each man pulls probabilities about god out of his ass and throws them at the other until one is too buried to breathe.

PairTheBoard
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  #18  
Old 08-08-2005, 11:16 PM
chezlaw chezlaw is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

[ QUOTE ]
The Great Swinburne-Sklansky Debate. Each man pulls probabilities about god out of his ass and throws them at the other until one is too buried to breathe.

PairTheBoard

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats about right. Swinburne's argument uses bayes theorem and some arbitary looking probabilities to show the resurrection is very likely to be true. Sound familiar [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Its depressing that posters who pride themselves on their rationality are so sure that Swinburne's failings are mathematical when a few minutes googleplexing would show them that 'The Age and Catholic News' representation of his argument is highly misleading - probably because they, rather than Swinburne, didn't understand the maths.


chez
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  #19  
Old 08-09-2005, 08:06 AM
JoshuaD JoshuaD is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

[ QUOTE ]
Probability of this guy needing a math degree: 100%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Probaility of this guy being able to get a math degree: 1%.
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  #20  
Old 08-09-2005, 08:39 AM
chezlaw chezlaw is offline
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Default Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Probability of this guy needing a math degree: 100%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Probaility of this guy being able to get a math degree: 1%.

[/ QUOTE ]

I trust you guys assign probabilities a bit more objectively when you're playing poker [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

chez
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