2/4 party top two river decision

[spahk]

i'm not sure where i'm at here. if bb flopped 2p, i'm good. if he flopped a set, i'm not. any thoughts? my line is standard, right? i call the minraise on the turn so i don't have to think too hard if i manage to get lucky and fill up. unfortunately, i don't.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (8 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">BB ($327.50)</font>
UTG ($410)
UTG+1 ($308.90)
MP1 ($356.15)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($376)</font>
CO ($174.92)
Button ($666.80)
SB ($186.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $12</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls $8.

Flop: ($26) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $24</font>, BB calls $24.

Turn: ($74) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $50</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $100</font>, Hero calls $50.

River: ($274) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $125</font>, Hero ???

i ran my time bank down here. any help would be appreciated. thanks.

[FreakDaddy]

Posting any reads are helpful, without them I could only guesstimate what percentage of the time you're good here. The way it's played, smells like a set, but the difference between call and fold here depend on read, but it's very plausable that you're up against a smaller two pair here with the play coming out of the BB.

[spahk]

[ QUOTE ]
Posting any reads are helpful, without them I could only guesstimate what percentage of the time you're good here. The way it's played, smells like a set, but the difference between call and fold here depend on read, but it's very plausable that you're up against a smaller two pair here with the play coming out of the BB.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah. i'm unfortunately playing a couple of these tables and watching tv and reading this forum right now. i have no notes on this player. he hasn't done anything out of line yet.

[ajmargarine]

This would be a tough laydown, and I wouldn't do it without a strong read on villian. Against an unknown, I'm calling but not too happy about it. Expect to lose to a well played set more than I would like, but expect to win a few more times against other junk.

[NYCNative]

You're either losing to a set of 9s or beating Ax.

[-Skeme-]

I'm not good enough to lay this down.

[Ghazban]

I can't fold on the end because I can see villain having AK or a worse two pair often enough for a call to be +EV. I would've checked the turn behind as its a clear WA/WB situation (way ahead of Ax, way behind a set). Checking behind on the turn and calling any reasonable river bet or betting for value if checked to makes more money long term as the turn check will cause villain to bet a lot of hands you are beating on the river.

[vanHelsing]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not good enough to lay this down.

[/ QUOTE ]

[warlockjd]

Push the turn and it's not close IMO. Top 2 and no str8s, get your chips in ASAP

[jacknine]

I think when villain raises you on the turn, you can predict that you´ll end up with all your chips in the middle if you want to play this out. If you´re willing to go there, push - if not, fold.