Folding AA for one more in a big pot

ggbman · #1 09-30-2005, 09:00 PM

Comments on all streets, particularly the river

Party Poker 30/60 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 raises, MP1 calls, 3 folds, Button calls, Hero 3-bets, 1 fold, UTG+1 caps, MP1 calls, Button calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (17 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero bets, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Button calls.

Turn: (10.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero bets, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Button raises, Hero calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls.

River: (18.50 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, Button bets, Hero folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls.

Final Pot: 21.50 BB

lil feller · #2 09-30-2005, 09:11 PM

Without knowing the button its tough to say, but i'd think you're good more than 5% of the time here.

lf

Jeff W · #3 09-30-2005, 09:18 PM

Boy... I would not make that fold.

imashyboi · #4 09-30-2005, 10:30 PM

The only hands I see him having here would be a QJs for two pair or a set of 22. If he's weak tight then he might have AK. What's the results?

#5 09-30-2005, 11:49 PM

What hands can you beat that give that type of action preflop with the coordinated nature of the board by 4th St? You have UTG capping and BOTH MP1 and Button calling 2 more preflop. By the turn you're more than likely looking at least 2 pair, if not a set or possibly a straight.

I don't think you can bet into this type of board on the turn. Check/Call it down.

Philuva · #6 10-01-2005, 12:31 AM

I would fold. It looks like button has AK, UTG+1 has KK and MP1 has QJ.

mscags · #7 10-01-2005, 12:49 AM

Probably a good fold, but something I don't think I can do. You're losing to all capping hands here unless he would cap with AQ or 99. Still given the size of the pot I probably call.

BobboFitos · #8 10-01-2005, 01:39 AM

wow whats that saying about trying to make big folds in big pots?

DeeJ · #9 10-01-2005, 07:21 AM

It's possible villain has AQ here (or maybe a slow-played KK or the just possible AA) as he cold-called the UTG+1 raise. He is more likely to have 22 or AK or QJ.. I think you got to call and I expect to win only maybe 10% of the time.

GuyOnTilt · #10 10-01-2005, 07:28 AM

Check the flop.

GoT