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call 2 back with the 4th nuts?
Reads : BB is very loose and fairly passive, UTG+1 and Hijack came in one hand apart about 11-12 hands ago and both have played 8-9 of the hands with mild aggression (all aggression has been pre-flop for the most part for both of them). Both have showndown >75% of their hands so far each winning ~2 hands. UTG+1 called a turn raise and river bet w/ AK high with 4 people in to the end.
FullTilt $1/$2 (8 handed) Hero dealt 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in SB UTG+1 and Hijack limp, Hero completes, BB checks <font color="blue">Worth completing at 7:1?</font> Pot 4 SB (4 players) Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Hero checks, BB checks, <font color="red">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hijack calls, Hero calls, BB folds <font color="blue">About as good of a flop I could hope for. Flush draw plus a "double" BDSD so about 11 outs or so. Probably should have led out, but should I c/r it when it gets back?</font> Pot : 7 SB (3 players) Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, Hijack checks <font color="blue">Hmm, checked around suprised me a bit as I expected someone to have something here? I now only have my flush outs.</font> Pot 3.5 BB (3 players) Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="red">Hero bets, UTG+1 raises, Hijack 3-bets</font>, Hero calls???, UTG+1 calls Final Pot : 12.5 BB <font color="blue">With me catching the 4th nuts I decided to lead out. I did not want the river to get checked through if they both had a baby pocket pair or something like 3-4th pair. Having to face 2 back really suprised me. Am I good here the ~22% of the time to call this? I know, the pot is small up until the 3 bet, but the numbers seemed right on all streets except for possibly the river call.</font> |
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