2+2 at the WSOP ME

[pryor15]

i suspect i may have missed a prev thread, but whatever. i was thinking about this last night, what is the consensus on the odds of a 2+2er winning the main event. and just to clarify, let's say anyone w/ more than 200 posts. 4-1? 8-1? higher? discuss.

[RicktheRuler]

[ QUOTE ]
i suspect i may have missed a prev thread, but whatever. i was thinking about this last night, what is the consensus on the odds of a 2+2er winning the main event. and just to clarify, let's say anyone w/ more than 200 posts. 4-1? 8-1? higher? discuss.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winning the ME? 4:1 or 8:1? Phil Ivey is 25:1 to make the final table. I will bet you almost any amount that a 2+2er does not win.

[pryor15]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i suspect i may have missed a prev thread, but whatever. i was thinking about this last night, what is the consensus on the odds of a 2+2er winning the main event. and just to clarify, let's say anyone w/ more than 200 posts. 4-1? 8-1? higher? discuss.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winning the ME? 4:1 or 8:1? Phil Ivey is 25:1 to make the final table. I will bet you almost any amount that a 2+2er does not win.

[/ QUOTE ]

just to clarify, i don't mean a specific 2+2er, but the 'field'. there's gotta be a bunch of us playing. (not me, sadly, but a bunch anyway)

my math's not good on a saturday, but if raymer's 325:1 and daniel n.'s 200:1 and sklanky's 700:1, then combined they're what?

edit: daniel's got much fewer posts than i thought.

[MicroBob]

Of course, this brings up the question of How many 2+2'ers with 200+ posts will be playing the main-event in the first place.


Do we have 200 or so?



Also - since when does Daniel count as a 2+2'er. he's stopped by here a few times but he doesn't even have more than 10-15 posts does he?
FWIW - I also would not consider Greenstein to be a 2+2'er either.

Sklansky and Raymer obviously are though.

[pryor15]

yeah, i thought he was around more. my bad. that changes things a lot. i was thinking we had 200-300 including daniel, but apparantly i was way off.

[RicktheRuler]

If Greenstein, Phillips, Negreanu and the few other pros that post on here count as 2+2er I would need to see the spread first.

[prana]

i find this funny from bodog:

Ben Affleck 625/1
David Sklansky 700/1
Shannon Elizabeth 800/1

Yesterday:

Ben Affleck 450/1
Shannon Elizabeth 600/1
David Sklansky 700/1

[Steve Chase]

[ QUOTE ]

my math's not good on a saturday, but if raymer's 325:1 and daniel n.'s 200:1 and sklanky's 700:1, then combined they're what?

[/ QUOTE ]

The combined odds is simple: 1/325 + 1/200 + 1/700
which is about 106:1

[Stosh]

I'm in. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[hoterdoc]

so when does one really become a 2+2er?
most of my posts have been about making tables, designing chips, and different home tourney structures, and few have fallen out of the home poker forum.

I don't believe I have ever posted a hand for commentary, yet.

I won a seat in the WSoP from a local charity's "___series of poker", (82 people in the final event);
after I finished 5th (or better) out of 54 in the initial $25 qualifier (the top 10% advanced to he final - so we quit playing when we were down to 5).

I don't really know if I am a 2+2'er or not, but I'd also love to meet up.
doc