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  #1  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:01 AM
AZnuts AZnuts is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 6
Default Too Streaky?

This data is over 125 Party SNG's (mostly $20, some $10 & $30).

I was around 25% ROI, learning this format, thought things were fine.

But lately, I have a bad run. Down to 8% ROI.

My best run has been 10 out 15 in top 2; 18 of 36 ITM. My latest run though is no money in last 10, only 2 ITM in last 20.

How do these compare to other proven winner's patterns?

I was thinking my 10/15, 18/36 provided me some confidence in my game, but lately I don't know. How bad is bad as far as SNG runs go? Would it indicate some kind of change in my play that I haven't noticed?
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  #2  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:05 AM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 786
Default Re: Too Streaky?

OP: click here

I like rabbits but I hate live 2/4 at the Gold Coast.
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  #3  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:08 AM
KramerTM KramerTM is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 78
Default Re: Too Streaky?

[ QUOTE ]

I like rabbits but I hate live 2/4 at the Gold Coast.

[/ QUOTE ]

You must explain. Me curious.
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  #4  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:17 AM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 786
Default Re: Too Streaky?

1) I suck at limit.
2) I suck at live play.
3) I lost $37 over six hours, during which I saw at least $500 of dead money appear on the table and filter off to the non-retarded players. What does that make me?
4) That rabbit I found in my yard is a cute little bugger. My housemates let him out and couldn't get him back in his cage, so they went to sleep. He proceeded to eat both of the '5' buttons on two separate remote controls, in both cases leaving the surrounding buttons untouched.

Is this thread ready to be locked yet?
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  #5  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:17 AM
Ogre Ogre is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Minnesota
Posts: 5
Default Re: Too Streaky?

i didnt read your post but i can tell your sample size is way to large. try posting the stats of your last few sets. then we can decide
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  #6  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:29 AM
KramerTM KramerTM is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 78
Default Re: Too Streaky?

[ QUOTE ]
4) That rabbit I found in my yard is a cute little bugger. My housemates let him out and couldn't get him back in his cage, so they went to sleep. He proceeded to eat both of the '5' buttons on two separate remote controls, in both cases leaving the surrounding buttons untouched.

[/ QUOTE ]

I just print-screened this and made it my background. Don't lock this [censored]!
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  #7  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:30 AM
KramerTM KramerTM is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 78
Default Re: Too Streaky?

[ QUOTE ]
i didnt read your post but i can tell your sample size is way to large. try posting the stats of your last few sets. then we can decide

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL. You mean.
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  #8  
Old 09-17-2005, 04:37 AM
pergesu pergesu is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 2
Default Re: Too Streaky?

8% is good. The vast majority of players are losing. So stop whining.
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  #9  
Old 09-17-2005, 05:51 AM
Mr_J Mr_J is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 639
Default Re: Too Streaky?

I was running a bit over 20% ROI over my first 1k $22s. Over the next 300 my roi had fallen to 12-13%, and another 250 sngs later it was just under 20%. Variance is a b!tch, but that's part of poker so you just have to deal with it.
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  #10  
Old 09-17-2005, 11:15 AM
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Default Re: Too Streaky?

if you play 1000 sng's you probably will have a streak of negative roi for 100 of them even if you are a solid winning player
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