Can YOU get away from this hand?

[dfan]

I am curious -- I estimated that in this particular situation (2nd hour or $150MTT, 50/100, ave. stack 2400t, 300t raise called by a tight player (14% vpip), a semi-tight player (18%), and a loose player (30%), the JJ will go down in flames 75% of the time even with a TdTs8s flop no matter how the hand is bet from the flop on.

What % would you experienced MTT'ers estimate the JJ will regret it if he continues betting this hand?