Unbelievable Hands

[Officer Farva]

After responding in the post entitled, "How often will quads over quads happened", I became interested in finding the statistics behind some of the more unbelievable hands experienced by posters in this forum. Examples:

quads over quads : 5 times in a million
dealt same trips three times in 7card Stud: 8 times in 100 Billion

What are the most unbelieavle hands you've seen. If you post it, I'll do the math. If its too statistically unlikely, I'll call your bluff.

[Cleveland Guy]

I swear this happened to me, and I know it's really unlikely, but I gotta know how unlikely

Hand 1: Quad Ks
Hand 2: Royal Straight Flush

I got this in back to back hands of a SnG Once.

[meep_42]

Quad 2's over Aces Full of 2s over 5s Full of 2s.
22 v AA v 55, A52 flop, 2 turn, unimportant river.

-d

[crash]

pocket 4s three times in a row (in HE): 10.6 million to one?

[JinX11]

I think I have this one....

On Empire $3/$6, I received AA and another guy received KK pre-flop. The following hand, we both received the same two starting hands, though not the same exact cards (different suits).

Needless to say, he was not happy. I told him that there was a glitch in the Matrix.

Someone on another forum calculated the odds of this happening...let's see how close your numbers come to his.

[Officer Farva]

Ok, well,

P(Quad Kings beaten by any Royal Flush (10 sided)) =

((Royal Suited Connectors(no king) * Pocket Kings w/o critical King*KKRoyalRoyalX Boards)+(RSCs*KingX w/o crit King *KKKRR Board)(Ways to deal out other 8 Hands) /
(Ways to deal 10 hands)(# Boards) =
((48*6*(28*120)) + (48*78*120))(43 P 16)/(52 P 20)(32 P 5) =
.000000001
So this happens once every billion hands

It happens twice in a row once every heptillion hands
, or once every billion billion hands.

That is the most unbelievable thing that I have heard of...I don't think it happened.

[Officer Farva]

Well, because of the deatils and lack of arbitrarity, this is simply

#Aces*#5s*#2s*(# A522x boards)*(Number of ways to deal out remaining hands)/(deals)(boards) =

12*12*12*(4*44)*(43 P 8)/ (52 P 10)(32 P 5)=

.000001282

so 1.2 times in a million

[Officer Farva]

[censored], my denominator is wrong in all of these...

[AviD]

No I think he said he had quad Ks and then the next hand had a Royal...not one over the other twice in a row.

[Officer Farva]

oops thanks