|
|
#1
11-16-2005, 08:42 PM
|
|||
|
|||
A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
4-handed.
effective stacks 2k. hero: A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] hero opens utg to 70. solid player that is likely a winner in this game but seems to be weak lately calls on the button. FLOP: 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]-7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]-2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (pot:170) hero leads for 190. button pauses, goes all in for 1800. hero calls quickly. thoughts? 
|
|
#2
11-16-2005, 08:53 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
9sTs is a 55% favorite. A pair as hefty as 55 is an 80% favorite. Hands like 8s7s and As7s have hero just destroyed.
Not sure what you were hoping for, chuddo. This looks like a very tilty play.
|
|
#3
11-16-2005, 08:55 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
This seems like a math question. My wild ass guess at his range is the following:
Set -- 5% Overpair -- 15% Flush draw with overs -- 30% Combo straight and flush draw -- 25% Air -- 25% Where does that leave you?
|
|
#5
11-16-2005, 08:58 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
[ QUOTE ]
thoughts? [/ QUOTE ] If he has something he has you close to a coin flip or destroyed. If he has nothing you can accomplish your goal with a much smaller bet.
|
|
#6
11-16-2005, 09:00 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
obviously you put him on air... but my fear is how often youd lose to air here.
putting a guy on a 'range' given this massive overbet requires a bit of help from the gods. you hope he has AK? do you really want to get this much money in there against him if he has any two spades/overcards (QsJs, maybe)? and god forbid he has a pair, and youre in there with 5 outs. i think this call is crazy, unfortunately he probably has to take this down with his air...
|
|
#8
11-16-2005, 09:17 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
Good thing I hit the river again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
i kid.
|
|
#10
11-16-2005, 09:29 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
I've given this some more thought and decided that if you're doing stuff like this, you're playing out of your league. You've probably had a good run of cards and think you are a good player, but you obviously are not.
I think you should move down a few levels, read some books and watch less WPT. Best of luck.
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
