Average Win Rate

TaintedRogue · #1 10-06-2005, 12:26 PM

What's everyone averaging per 100 hands playing microlimit?
I'm getting 8.62/100 over the first 759 hands I've played at the .05/.10 tables.
I play 1 table at a time.

RandBriscoe · #2 10-06-2005, 12:42 PM

Your sample size is so small as to be virtually meaningless. I played 2x that yesterday and lost $150. Your winrate will drop considerably and probably won't be even remotely accurate until roughly 100,000 hands.

Having said that, after about 10k of +bb/100, you can be pretty sure you're beating the game.

britspin · #3 10-06-2005, 12:45 PM

Since I posted something very similar once, let me be the first to say.. this is covered in the FAQ.

When you read this you'll see you're running so well that many would say it's unsustainable. However, I don't really know what's sustainable at your level. So you should bear in mind that your sample size is very small and that variance is massive- I'm only at 8K hands and I've had 1k streaks where i'm down 150BB and 1k streaks where I'm up the same..

TaintedRogue · #4 10-06-2005, 04:43 PM

Tell me you didn't lose $150.00 in a .05/.10 game....... [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

DCWildcat · #5 10-06-2005, 04:44 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Your sample size is so small as to be virtually meaningless. I played 2x that yesterday and lost $150. Your winrate will drop considerably and probably won't be even remotely accurate until roughly 100,000 hands.

Having said that, after about 10k of +bb/100, you can be pretty sure you're beating the game.

[/ QUOTE ]

To illustrate that, for my 1st 3k hands:

after 1k - 7.9BB/100
after 3k- 1.9BB/100

TaintedRogue · #6 10-06-2005, 04:45 PM

Thanks. I thought it was kind of high, but it doesn't appear I'm on a streak, just make the right folds and calls and re-raises.
I don't win but about 11% of all hands that I'm dealt.

TaintedRogue · #7 10-06-2005, 04:46 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Your sample size is so small as to be virtually meaningless. I played 2x that yesterday and lost $150. Your winrate will drop considerably and probably won't be even remotely accurate until roughly 100,000 hands.

Having said that, after about 10k of +bb/100, you can be pretty sure you're beating the game.

[/ QUOTE ]

To illustrate that, for my 1st 3k hands:

after 1k - 7.9BB/100
after 3k- 1.9BB/100

[/ QUOTE ]

This is what limit?

DCWildcat · #8 10-06-2005, 04:51 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Your sample size is so small as to be virtually meaningless. I played 2x that yesterday and lost $150. Your winrate will drop considerably and probably won't be even remotely accurate until roughly 100,000 hands.

Having said that, after about 10k of +bb/100, you can be pretty sure you're beating the game.

[/ QUOTE ]

To illustrate that, for my 1st 3k hands:

after 1k - 7.9BB/100
after 3k- 1.9BB/100

[/ QUOTE ]

This is what limit?

[/ QUOTE ]

.25/.5 and .5/1 on Interpoker (lovely games there).

I had to rush the latter to get a bonus on time (which I missed anyway...grr), to the tune of, oh, maybe 1BB/100 at most.

Party's games are horribly, horribly overrated. Party 1/2 = ~3/6 at Pokerroom, pacific, and crypto sites.

TaintedRogue · #9 10-06-2005, 04:54 PM

I'm playing at PokerStars. Usually 40% seeing the flop.

RandBriscoe · #10 10-06-2005, 05:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Tell me you didn't lose $150.00 in a .05/.10 game....... [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

It was .5/1 6-max. Still a pretty rough swing... Anyway, I'm willing to say that you are in fact, running hot. Your winrate might be sustainable with absolutely perfect play but I doubt it. Simply, your sample is just incredibly small.