TPTK vs. TAG

[PokerFink]

Reads: Villian has not been at the table all that long, but he seems TAG preflop and somewhat LAG postflop. He was 15/7/1.5. (I'm surprised his AF is that low). At one point he flopped a baby flush in a raised pot and raised on the flop, so he isn't in love with slowplaying. I haven't seen him showdown a big bluff, but considering his play I felt that he was definitely capable of making some moves.

Stars 100NL 6-max, 5 handed.

Villian has $130 on the button, Hero covers.

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero raises to $4, only villian calls.

Flop (2 players, $9): Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Hero bets $9, villian calls.

Turn (2 players, $27): 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Hero checks, vilian bets $15, Hero calls.

River (2 players, $57): 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero checks, villian bets $40, Hero calls.

Final Pot: $137

When I saw his biggish river bet I thought I should have led the river, but I figured I made my bed by playing it this way and now I had to lie in it.

Thoughts?

[orange]

What range of hands do you think villan is capable of betting here? KQ,AQ,and maybe 10s or 9s.

Another alternate line you could take is betting the turn/block the river. c/c-ing the river isn't bad either, if you think villan will bluff on a missed draw.

[PokerFink]

Villian would definitely value bet a queen (who woulden't?!), but since he might not even call preflop with QJs it can't be all that likely he has a queen. KQ and AQ are probably it.

Does he value bet 9's T's or J's? I don't know. He definitely bets the turn, but I don't know about the river. A lot of people call here with JJ. Thats a pretty frisky bet on the river with a pair of nines.

There aren't many draws, and two gutshots got there, so I don't know what draw he would be bluffing. If he is bluffing it's probably air.

EDIT: Let me add that the reason I played the hand this way is because I felt the only hand I was going to get value out of was KQ, and that I could get more by letting him bluff. I thought that was pretty obvious.

and if heas 88 or 44 giving him a set on the flop?

[PokerFink]

Thats obviously another possability.

"but I figured I made my bed by playing it this way and now I had to lie in it."

In other words, if he has a set, I have to pay him.