#1
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Eagles ending my parlay
I have a 6 game parlay that'll pay out 1100 (it'll increase my roll by about 25%) on the Eagles to win tonight. Do you think I should make an offsetting bet, if so how much?
any advice would be greatly appreciated. My bet is 76/1105, and I got the eagles at +135 if that helps. |
#2
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Re: Eagles ending my parlay
[ QUOTE ]
I have a 6 game parlay that'll pay out 1100 (it'll increase my roll by about 25%) on the Eagles to win tonight. Do you think I should make an offsetting bet, if so how much? any advice would be greatly appreciated. My bet is 76/1105, and I got the eagles at +135 if that helps. [/ QUOTE ] It's a question only you can answer. The highest EV move is to stick with the parlay. |
#3
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Re: Eagles ending my parlay
Unfortunately, the line has really moved against you.
Find the best line you can, and lay about 400 (to win ~250) on the Skins money line. Then you'd have something like: Eagles win (+525), Skins win (+175). Adjust the numbers as you like, but I'd hedge a least some of it. |
#4
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Re: Eagles ending my parlay
I hit a 5 gamer today, and like you it came down to one game, SEA -4 for me. I decided to hedge about 200 of the 1000 parlay win so i made sure i made something. After the game was over it kinda takes the shine off the big win but i also knew it was a safe play as a +800 or +200 swing would both be pretty big for me as i only have a low 4 figure roll. Basically depends how much you want to gamble, personally i think the eagles are in a lot of trouble tonight for a number of reasons (even tho most people on this board seem to think the eagles are the anti-bsp pick etc).
Basically imo injured mcnabb+no to+no running game vs a pretty good redskins defense (typically that is) playing a national tv game after getting totally embarrased last week seems like potential for trouble for the eagles. Honestly i think the game could go either way, but i think the Eagles have a lot of things working against them and have not played well lately at all. |
#5
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Re: Eagles ending my parlay
thanks for the responses, i left it alone. I'm not feeling too comfortable now, but I can't really worry about it as I have a 6 page paper due in 2 hrs.
[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] c'mon d00ds, make me rich |
#6
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Re: Eagles ending my parlay
I think i shoulda made a better title... this one jinxed them from the start
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