Assuming Pinnacle knows all...a betting strategy.

[ctv1116]

OK, so I've been reading around the various sports betting forums, and I've noticed that universally people say that Pinnacle has the sharpest lines, and that other recreational "square" books skew their lines so that the favorite/over has bad lines and the underdog/under good lines (because the recreational player will mainly bet favorites, increasing the book's edge).

In light of this fact, I propose a betting strategy: Take the average of a baseball game's Pinny line (e.g. +137/-145 would be +/-141). Now, take any bet which deviates from that number (i.e. if VIP were offering +144 you'd bet the dog +144 at VIP).

Some initial problems I see with this strategy:

1. You hope that Pinnacle is giving the true line and not a skewed line to get some action on a particular side.

2. Most of said "square" books will cut your limits if you bet on too many dogs (or if you're just winning) from what I hear. Thus you might not be able to make much before they cut your limits or give you a dual line.

I'd like to hear from the regs what you think of this strategy.