Bubble hand from Stars 36+3 Sat

[Exitonly]

i don't think SB's stack really matters.. it's a fold either way.

[Sam T.]

Yah, you're under 50% three handed, and you gotta think one of the shorties will bust. And even if they don't you could always win your big blind when it comes around.

In short, I think the chances of one of the other shorties busting + the chances of you winning a hand is greater than 48%, so this is a fold.

[Melchiades]

Ok. Everyone seems to think this is a fold. I folded, and an idiot with about 1800 went all in from MP at another table only to get 3-4 calls from huge stacks. He had 88 or something, and busted.

Just felt that I might have regretted this hand if not, but it looks like I did the right thing.

[Doylestown]

I agree - definitely folding AK here. Dare I ask the question, do you also fold AA here?

[Exitonly]

yea, i'm not playing anything here...

vs two random hands you're 70% w/ AA.

the two short stacks will both have to go against two random hands too.. so they each have 33% chance to survive... So even if there was just one short stack between you and the seat, i think it's still a fold (though a close one) w/ two to go before you do, i think it's a clear fold any 2.

[Melchiades]

Pokerstove says AA is about 70% against two random hands, so I think AA might be a fold as well. Considering the two shorties who will probably be all in with a random hand in multiway pots. Also add the chance that some idiot will go all in. Guess folding AK here wasn't even close then.

Yea AA is a fold here too. You will get the ticket if you just check/fold.

Btw, nice avatar Melchiades. When I first saw it I was like "Didn't know he was a nature boy" and then the giraffe popped up and I started laugh. Nice one

I whirlwind slam my aces and bust out on the bubble like a donk.

Im in it to win it!

You know you dont have to win the satellite to get a ticket do you?