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#1
12-15-2005, 08:36 PM
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Re: AJo in the CO
I think PF is ok given the overlay and action the BB will provide if you hit a good flop.
Fold the flop. Weak tight nut peddlers only 3-bet the top 4 or 5 hands at most. You might have 3 A outs or you might be drawing to runner runner. 
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#2
12-15-2005, 08:40 PM
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Re: AJo in the CO
It should be very carefully noted that the pot already contains over $25.
Basically just forget about the BB. He has two cards. Who cares. Can we get the nut peddlar to fold AK? If so, that alone is absolutely enough reason to raise this flop. If he won't fold AK, I agree that we are in in trouble. Here's a challenge for you guys: How often does button have to fold AK, given that his three-betting range is JJ+ and AK, for it be correct to raise this flop? We can assume that BB's hand is something from approximately the top 30% of hands.
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#3
12-15-2005, 10:13 PM
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Re: AJo in the CO
Button also knows this pot is big and that it is worth pealing another card with AK. He'll at least call and probably reraise with JJ+ on this good flop for him.
Also, I'm not even sure he always 3-bets PF with AKo. So, I think the question we need to ask is: What percent of the time does Button actually have AK and is actually willing to fold it on the flop?
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