Flush played weak?

#1 12-27-2005, 12:02 PM

Not sure about either the turn or river here. Comments appreciated.

Party Poker 0.50/1.00 Hold'em (10 handed) link

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
2 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 1 folds, Hero calls, 1 folds, BB checks.

Flop: (5.50 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 players)
BB checks, MP1 checks, MP2 bets, MP3 folds, Hero raises, BB folds, MP1 calls, MP2 3-bets, Hero calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (7.25 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
MP1 checks, MP2 bets, Hero raises, MP1 folds, MP2 3-bets, Hero calls.

River: (13.25 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 13.25 BB.

davelin · #2 12-27-2005, 12:03 PM

You could probably raise pre-flop here. I'd cap that turn and call the river.

#3 12-27-2005, 12:08 PM

I would have bet the river. Looks like he might have missed is FD.

#4 12-27-2005, 12:13 PM

What kind of hand do you put villian on? If he is the type of player who would bet a nut flush draw on the flop then your line is g00t. Otherwise, as davelin said cap and call.

DeadManJay · #5 12-27-2005, 12:13 PM

I put him on AJ with A of spades on his river check. I think the turn call is fine, but you have to bet this river.

Songwind · #6 12-27-2005, 12:33 PM

*grunch*
Why did you limp preflop with KTs on the button? That's a good hand in position! Raise.

MP1 already called two bets cold, so I think capping the flop for value is a good play.

I call the 3-bet on the turn as well. MP2 was very aggressive after the flush card AND paired board hit and you raised him. I think capping here wouldn't be a big mistake either, though.

River: I bet/call the river when it's checked to me. He could easily have a smaller flush, trips, two pair.

davelin · #7 12-27-2005, 12:52 PM

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MP1 already called two bets cold, so I think capping the flop for value is a good play.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not with just three to the turn.

#8 12-27-2005, 01:01 PM

grunch:

I raise with this preflop. flop I think you could cap. Turn, you have the second nut flush, I'm not ready to give MP2 credit for Ace-x suited in spades, so I cap. River I bet.

#9 12-27-2005, 01:06 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Not with just three to the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

Um, you're 35% to hit the flush by the river, the question is if you think he'll call the cap bet. If you're confident he'll call then it's a +EV bet. It would totally depend on the read, but he's already called two cold, why not two more?

davelin · #10 12-27-2005, 01:14 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Not with just three to the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

Um, you're 35% to hit the flush by the river

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35% to hit your flush by the river does not equal 35% of pot equity here.