Chances of flopping a boat

canis582 · #1 09-02-2005, 10:32 PM

I was taking a shot at 100nl tonight (Im a 50 player) and I flopped a boat and doubled through. I know I was lucky. How lucky was I? I dont think I've flopped one for quite some time...I was on the button too.

KJL · #2 09-02-2005, 11:14 PM

Did you have a pocket pair?

canis582 · #3 09-03-2005, 09:13 AM

Good question, I was playing sooted connectors.

timex · #4 09-03-2005, 11:44 AM

There are 3 of card x and 3 of card y remaining in the deck of 50, the first card has a 6/50 chance of being an x or y, the second card has a 5/49 and the third card has a 4/48 less the 3! *2 time when hit quads = 108/117600 or right around 1/1089 times.

KJL · #5 09-03-2005, 11:39 PM

The chances to flop a boat and only a boat, when holding suited connectors, or any unpaired hand, are:
2*C(3,2)*3/C(50,3)=~.09%

kamk2k8 · #6 09-04-2005, 08:45 PM

i would say about a .1% chance, you lucky dog [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]