Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?

floppy · #1 10-01-2005, 04:31 PM

Villan made a bunch of ridiculous raises at 25/50 level (half to entire stack, 500 to 1000). Weak Aces, perhaps?

Anyway, fast-forward to 75/150. Villan is still being aggressive PF but only about once/orbit:

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG (t890)
UTG+1 (t635)
Villan (t1245)
MP2 (t1030)
CO (t400)
Hero (t1140)
SB (t730)
BB (t1930)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
2 folds, Villan raises to t425, 2 folds, Hero raises all in to t1140, 2 folds, Villan calls t715.

Flop: (t1365) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)

Turn: (t1365) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)

River: (t1365) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)

Final Pot: t1365

Results in white below: 
Villan has 8d 8s (two pair, eights and fives).
Hero has Ah Kh (one pair, fives).
Outcome: Villan wins t1365. 

What kind of FE do I have here?

BadMongo · #2 10-01-2005, 05:15 PM

Even against a reasonable player, your FE in this situation would be very close to zero. From your description of this guy, I'd say it's definately zero.

floppy · #3 10-01-2005, 05:19 PM

So call, nail him if TP hits, or play poker otherwise?

lastchance · #4 10-01-2005, 05:26 PM

[ QUOTE ]
So call, nail him if TP hits, or play poker otherwise?

[/ QUOTE ]
You have AK and <10x BB. Push anyway.

BadMongo · #5 10-01-2005, 05:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You have AK and <10x BB. Push anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

Uppercut · #6 10-01-2005, 07:18 PM

[ QUOTE ]
So call, nail him if TP hits, or play poker otherwise?

[/ QUOTE ]

AKo wants to see all five cards. Push pre-flop.