LC: I fancy two NBA picks tonight, but I suck!

[Lori]

I've been using a bonus to play around on the NBA this season. I dabble with fantasy leagues (and win them), but my confession here is that although I do fine on the fantasy side, I know nothing about tactics, or even all of the rules of the actual game.... hence I label this low content.

I do however watch a lot of games "in text" on Yahoo and the suchlike and of course have a certain level of logical thinking.

Last night I got on Washington on the Money Line, My first ML bet. I didn't expect it to go how it did of course, oh and I joined wagerline and went 14-5 on my first day. All of which has led me to the conclusion that I'm obviously a genius NBA tipster [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Anyway, for those who like to follow people on a rush, I figured I'd post the two that I like tonight in what will probably be a series of one post if I go 0-2 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Washington +2

Sadly sadly this is the "obvious" choice tonight, however I think it's an interesting one.
I'm working on the assumption here that the line is somewhere near right and the game will be a tight one.

Charlotte have shown all season that they struggle to close out games while Washington are coming off the back of finishing Detroit in double overtime.
It will come down to courage, and I don't think Charlotte have it, although I don't think they are as lacking in ability as their record seems to suggest and with Wallace back (again) I think that after today (especially if they lose) they will be worth backing on several lines. I just don't want them in a close one.

Milwaukee +4

This line reeks of "wtf" to me. I was thinking that I would oppose the obvious Detroit win anyway and further research seems to show that Detroit really are the BSP pick.
The line hasn't moved on the back of last night's loss either, so that's a free factor in the equation.

Lori

[Lori]

Moral of the story: Don't follow someone who:

a) is on a rush
or
b) says they are on a rush.

Lori

[Lori]

I'm not doing it, I'm not going 0 fer on a public forum, so you're stuck with this until I a least get one right. (Nothing like a thread with no upside.)

I ask you to look at the following scores.

Clippers at home this season:

Toronto W 103-100
Golden State W 113-101
Milwaukee W 109-85
Minnesota W 100-99 (OT)
Atlanta W 92-77

Pacers on the road this season:

@ Charlotte L 90-122
@ Milwaukee L 102-103
@ Miami W 105-102
@ Orlando W 90-78

Note: The Pacers game against Charlotte at HOME was a 178 point affair.

Today's pick from the random punter is Clippers/Pacers OVER 192

I like this even more because the line is close and we have OT on our side.

Lori

[Lori]

Over 191 is now available, the "tip" stands at 192 though [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Lori

[Lori]

Today hates me. 63 first quarter points looked to be enough, it wasn't.

Lori

[Lori]

As this has potential to get embarrassing, I'm putting today's pick up just for the giggles.

I actually really like Utah +4 tonight for many reasons but I'm YTD 0-3 on here so far [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

Lori

[NoChance]

Good luck. It must turn around some time.

Looks like Kirilenko will be back for Utah tonight. That bodes well for you. I got the other side unfortunately, but at least one of us will win now.

[Lori]

6:50 UTA - A. Kirilenko enters game for M. Harpring

I was counting on this. I'm also hoping that Artest will have reduced minutes.

Edit: Good Luck Shamu.

Lori

[Lori]

With Anthony out tomorrow and the New Orleans offense tailing off a fraction in recent games I'll be on Under 188.5 tomorrow In the NOK - DEN matchup.

Do with that info what you will [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

Lori