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#1
10-25-2005, 11:27 PM
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OT ROI Probability
I'm not sure if this has ever been discussed, probably has, but is there a way to calculate the probability you will have X ROI over Y games if your true ROI is Z? X most likely being a range rather than a specific number.
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#5
10-26-2005, 08:47 AM
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Re: OT ROI Probability
[ QUOTE ]
Standard deviation is cake. It's gaussian distribution that is a bit trickier to work out. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] True, too bad you don't need Gaussians for this calculation though. If you want to talk about hard probabilities, we can just jump into Bivariate distributions...
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#6
10-26-2005, 01:36 PM
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Re: OT ROI Probability
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Standard deviation is cake. It's gaussian distribution that is a bit trickier to work out. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] True, too bad you don't need Gaussians for this calculation though. If you want to talk about hard probabilities, we can just jump into Bivariate distributions... [/ QUOTE ] Standard Deviation is cake. Gaussians. Bivariate Distributions. Jesus, which class did I miss in the late '70s early '80s? Sometimes I think I'm just too dumb for this game. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] Lucky for me there are smart youngsters in this forum willing to translate this stuff to standard poker terminology (fold, push) and/or write software that tells you to fold or push. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Onaflag..........
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#7
10-26-2005, 12:52 PM
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Re: OT ROI Probability
its not whether i know how to use standard deviations and z tables but more me being lazy and wanting something like the ROI simulator to do it for me.
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#9
10-25-2005, 11:30 PM
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Re: OT ROI Probability
Linky on first page [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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Hybrid Mode
