TPTK, 3-way on Turn

[Falker11]

Live 2/5 at Turning Stone Casino

Hero($1110) MP2 with AQo

folds to MP1($500) opens for 15, hero raises to 30, MP3($600) calls CO ($500) calls button ($700) calls MP1 calls

I made thie min-reraise because players in this game will call 15 with very little, but typically tighten up to a reraise. Not this time.

Flop($150) Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
MP1 checks Hero bets $80 CO calls, MP1 calls

At this point I am sure my hand is best. CO surely would have raised with any hand the beats TPTK and MP1 is a very bad player who probably has KQ, or QJ, maybe even AK. He also would have raised with 2-pair or better.

Turn($390) 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
MP1 checks Hero ???

-Falker

edited to add suits

[FatalError]

All you can eat baby

pot is 390, they each have that much left, you're not going to bet 250 and fold for 140 more so put it all in there, i'd like to take this pot down immediately with what figures to be the best hand i'm assuming this is'nt a rainbow board by the way... if it by chance is i might be willing to make a bet of 200-250

[Falker11]

Hmm my suit icons didnt show up I'll edit that right now. The flop was rainbow with one spade and the turn was a spade.

Falker

[dtbog]

[ QUOTE ]
CO surely would have raised with any hand the beats TPTK

[/ QUOTE ]

Then what is he calling you with? JT or TT are my only guesses, but why would he raise 999 here? I sure wouldn't.

Personally if I were CO and had a queen, I'd raise or fold... and TT only makes sense if you've been making a lot of bullshit continuation bets.

I'm not looking for monsters in the closet, but I think CO's hand range is {JT, 99, and a small chance of an overpair}... unless you have reason to believe otherwise.

[Falker11]

[ QUOTE ]

I'm not looking for monsters in the closet, but I think CO's hand range is {JT, 99, and a small chance of an overpair}... unless you have reason to believe otherwise.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are right, of course I can not completely rule out 99 or even 33 for that matter, but I have not see him slowplay yet. with 3 players left to act behind him I do not think he would only call my 1/2 pot sized bet, giving great odds for JT to hit cheaply on him. He had just lost to someone who hit their draw on the turn against him because he raised, but not enough and the player had odds to call and hit against him. He had played 2 hands since then and was overbetting the pot with his hands. It is most likely he is the one on a draw here.

Falker

[Falker11]

I bet $200 and CO calls without thinking. MP1 thinks for a little and then folds.
At this point I am putting villain on a big draw I figure he had JT and just picked up the spade draw as well.
River($790) K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] I check, villain checks ?!?!?! and my hand was good…never got to see villains hand

Falker