($33) full house on turn using one hole card

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Button (t1390)
SB (t1765)
BB (t1020)
UTG (t1540)
MP (t660)
Hero (t1625)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t150</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls t125, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: (t350) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets t250</font>, Hero calls t250.

Turn: (t850) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets t450</font>, Hero calls [t1225] , SB calls t775.

River: (t2075) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: t2075



SB is very loose and aggressive (VPiP 50%+, PFR 13%). I was attempting to steal the blinds as button and BB are tight.

What would you do at the flop? Normally I play trips very aggressively but this time I decided to slowplay to draw LAG out. Turn brings another K. How likely do you think it is that SB has a K?

I feel that he is more likely to have AQ/QT or maybe even just Ax than a K. Is this wrong?

[tigerite]

Against a LAG, I'm not raising QJo pf here at 25/50 with your stack size. It's not worth it.

Thanks Tigerite. Can you elaborate? Is it because I have 2nd biggest stack to SB's 1st? I thought that when you have a chip lead early you should play marginal hands more aggressively...

[tigerite]

It's just not that good against his calling range. You should play marginal hands a little more aggressively: against the right opponents, with the right situation. Not every time it's folded to you etc. You have over 30BB here.. getting another 1.5BB isn't really going to be of great use, and you won't have any clue what the LAG has on the flop. You got a nice flop, mostly you won't get anything half as good as this one, you'll cont bet, he'll raise and you've blown a fair chunk of your stack against a nutter, who won't be around at the end anyway.

By the way I think the turn is a call given how you've played the hand, but I really don't like being in this hand at all.

Thanks. I see your point about stack sizes... best probable scenario is I win the blinds which does absolutely nothing for me, worst case scenario is I knock myself out by insisting that a LAG can't have a good hand. I'll let everyone guess which of the two actually happened.

Thanks for helping me see the big picture.

[tigerite]

I'd also play the flop differently: I'd raise it because he'll pay off with a K or a draw if he's the kind of player you describe. Hell I might even push it if he's that bad.