USC/Virginia Tech thoughts

[mikelow]

The first game of the college season. Here's what I see:

USC appears loaded, but there are five new starters on the offensive line. Also no Mike Williams. But there's still a lot of offensive talent on this team. For the Hokies, Marcus Vick's suspension isn't a huge blow. But can the Hokies exploit the suspect pass defense of USC? What about their defense?

If the line goes up to about 20, a small play on the Hokies might be in order as the Trojans may feel the hype. Otherwise pass. There is still too much of a talent gap.

[craig r]

i would agree with you. if it goes to 20 (quite a few people are predicting that it will), then jump on VT.

craig

[Big Al]

I look for USC to shake, rattle, and roll to an easy cover, even if the line goes to 20.--Big Al--

[scalf]

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] the big line move has been the total from 59.5 down to 50's (low)..

unders are big early in college fb season; where timing of offense is so critical; even when one team is far superior..

either way...

hey i'm betting with big al

gl

[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[jujujaja34]

mikelow,

If theres one thing I learned going to Virginia Tech is that VT covers early in the season.

VT will keep it close with a strong defensive effort and ball-control offense.

USC - 27
VT - 14

jujujaja34

[craig r]

I am not saying that USC won't cover 20, but I can't understand somebody taking -20, or any other number other than -17 (maybe 17.5), since that was the opening line. Why would you bet into a line that moved that much against you (not you personally Al)?

craig

[Wake up CALL]

[ QUOTE ]
I am not saying that USC won't cover 20, but I can't understand somebody taking -20, or any other number other than -17 (maybe 17.5), since that was the opening line. Why would you bet into a line that moved that much against you (not you personally Al)?

craig

[/ QUOTE ]

The line is not moving against you, it is moving with the side you already like.

[Nemesis]

but the bigger the spread gets the harder it's gonna be for USC to beat. I think that if the spread keeps getting bigger then VT is probably a good play as they are more likely to cover. Now if you got USC at 17.5 then the line went to 20 i think that you're happy because you "bought" at the right time.

[craig r]

[ QUOTE ]
it is moving with the side you already like

[/ QUOTE ]

generally not a good thing if you are a contrarian.

[B8w]

Anyone else have any thoughts on the over/under?