Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
Old 04-30-2005, 05:25 PM
Tater10 Tater10 is offline
Junior Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 15
Default Probability question...

40 yard dash statistics below.

Alf has a Avg of 4.42 with a stddev of .04
Bob has a Avg of 4.43 with a stddev of .04
Charlie a Avg of 4.45 with a stddev of .04
Dave's Avg is 4.47 with a stddev of .04

Is the probability that Alf beats Bob = Normsdist(.01/.04), or 59.87%? (.7733 for Alf vs Charlie, .89435 for Alf vs Dave)

If that is so, what is the probabilty that Alf wins a race with all 4 of them running? Do i have to monte carlo this? I am thinking i cant take .5987*.7733*.89435 to get to an answer.
Reply With Quote

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:09 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.