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  #1  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:19 AM
schwza schwza is offline
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Default battle of blinds on bubble

BB had been reasonable/tight.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter

UTG (t790)
Button (t2340)
Hero (t1575)
BB (t3295)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, hero?
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  #2  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:20 AM
tigerite tigerite is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

Pushes and it isn't close
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  #3  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:21 AM
Nicholasp27 Nicholasp27 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

push

u gain 20% of ur stack if u steal...he'll call with &lt;20% of hands if he's being reasonable/tight

i'd feel better about it if he had the 2200 stack, not the 3k stack, but it's still +ev to push, so push it
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  #4  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:21 AM
wildzer0 wildzer0 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

For me, this is an insta-push. I don't have eastbay's calc here so I can't run the numbers, but I think this is pretty clear.
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  #5  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:22 AM
durron597 durron597 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

I fold this. You can't put enough pressure on the BB to make him fold a hand like A9, KQ, or 77. Plus UTG is going to be very desperate very soon.

Your stack size is right around the point where UTG folds most hands you are a 60/40 against and calls with hands where are you are 70/30 or worse. And the 300 chips in the pot aren't worth it IMO.

Edit: if UTG's stack and Button's stack were both 1500 or so this is a push. Also if BB's stack and Button's stack were reversed this is a push.

Edit2: if you had 200 fewer chips also it is a push. I think all the details are exactly unfavorable enough to make it not a push.
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  #6  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:25 AM
wiggs73 wiggs73 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

[ QUOTE ]
I fold this. You can't put enough pressure on the BB to make him fold a hand like A9, KQ, or 77. Plus UTG is going to be very desperate very soon.

Your stack size is right around the point where UTG folds most hands you are a 60/40 against and calls with hands where are you are 70/30 or worse. And the 300 chips in the pot aren't worth it IMO.

Edit: if UTG's stack and Button's stack were both 1500 or so this is a push. Also if BB's stack and Button's stack were reversed this is a push.

[/ QUOTE ]
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  #7  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:29 AM
SammyKid11 SammyKid11 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

Well, I ran this through SnGPT and it came out with exactly what Durron said...very close but a push here is slightly -EV. All about the short stack and his level of danger.
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  #8  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:33 AM
durron597 durron597 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

[ QUOTE ]
Well, I ran this through SnGPT and it came out with exactly what Durron said...very close but a push here is slightly -EV. All about the short stack and his level of danger.

[/ QUOTE ]

Woot @ gut instinct!

I really should buy SnGPT though.
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  #9  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:40 AM
schwza schwza is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

[ QUOTE ]
Well, I ran this through SnGPT and it came out with exactly what Durron said...very close but a push here is slightly -EV. All about the short stack and his level of danger.

[/ QUOTE ]

that's a pretty ridiculous statement to drop without saying villain's calling range.
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  #10  
Old 07-21-2005, 11:49 AM
Nicholasp27 Nicholasp27 is offline
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Default Re: battle of blinds on bubble

is it -ev for any calling range of opp? or only for certain calling ranges?
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