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| View Poll Results: witchcraft | |||
| i think so |
   
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16 | 9.88% |
| not likely |
  
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136 | 83.95% |
| not sure |
  
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10 | 6.17% |
| Voters: 162. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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#12
06-07-2005, 05:09 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
Perhaps he thinks his overpair TT is good here, and doesn't want to get drawn out? I call, it's a set baby.
Assuming he has an OESFD, you are still 57.9 to win the pot. 
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#13
06-07-2005, 05:29 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
It seems a bit suspect. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him turn over a big pair here, or some sort of good draw. While it's true you're not _that_ far ahead of good draws, and you're way behind a set, I almost never see low-stakes NL players go all in on the flop with a set. Let alone top set. I read this as something else, and even if I felt like he had the set, I just think there are too many combinations of hands you're destroying to lay this down.
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#14
06-07-2005, 05:45 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
I think it's a real tough decition. But with them stats on SB being your only read, they tip me into folding. They don't look donkish. (And if he isn't (very) bad, it should mean he either has a set or a very big draw. Far behind/slightly ahead-situation.)
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#15
06-07-2005, 06:08 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
call very quickly
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#16
06-07-2005, 06:36 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
i voted for call. your hand is very strong and you are playing on partypoker. because of his play, its very possible he is drawing. if he has a hand, you may still be ahead. its highly possible your opponent completed with a 97, suited or off. you can beat that, along with a variety of big flush draws, flush draw+ gut, and OESD+FD. and since it partypoker, dont forget the possibility of random crap or a donkey move with an overpair. i honestly think calling here will win more in the long run that it loses
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#18
06-07-2005, 07:14 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
The only hands you have to fear are 77 and 99. Even with OESFD you have redraws to the boat to make a call profitable. If he have the 77 or 99 he want to keep you in the hand so its unlikely that he go all-in with the set. I think the typical 100$ NL-player slowplay this or reraise you but not wanna scare you of this hand with an all-in. So 77 or 99 is a possibility but I call that instantly.
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#19
06-07-2005, 08:27 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
I can understand your concern for calling that much in an unraised pot, but i think in your position with the set of 3's he is probably on the nut flush draw and I think it is an instacall for you.
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#20
06-07-2005, 11:15 AM
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Re: Set in unraised $100 NL pot - call $200?
[ QUOTE ]
call very quickly [/ QUOTE ] I think you guys might be out thinking yourselves a bit here. I've seen this move several times at this limit and all the ones I remember have been two pair. I'm not saying it can't be set over set here, but I call and if I'm on a 'one outer' oh well...it sucks. Reload and keep playing.
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