Two Plus Two Older Archives Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop
 FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

#1
12-29-2005, 09:45 AM
 Guest Posts: n/a
Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

I'm would be grateful if someone could point me in the right direction on how to make calculations on the probability a hand will hit on the flop.
For example suppose a player in early position raises to 3BB pre-flop. Two other players call that bet. It comes to me on the button and I have a hand like 56s or even 56o or J3s. I'm not looking for the probability these hans will win because I would fold them on the flop if they do not hit and would not play it to the turn or river. I would like to know how to calculate the probability of hitting a straight or a flush with these hands or even a draw to a straight or a flush on the flop so I know what implied odds I would need pre-flop to play these hands. Any help is appreciated.
#2
12-29-2005, 09:53 AM
 BruceZ Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 1,636
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
I'm would be grateful if someone could point me in the right direction on how to make calculations on the probability a hand will hit on the flop.
For example suppose a player in early position raises to 3BB pre-flop. Two other players call that bet. It comes to me on the button and I have a hand like 56s or even 56o or J3s. I'm not looking for the probability these hans will win because I would fold them on the flop if they do not hit and would not play it to the turn or river. I would like to know how to calculate the probability of hitting a straight or a flush with these hands or even a draw to a straight or a flush on the flop so I know what implied odds I would need pre-flop to play these hands. Any help is appreciated.

[/ QUOTE ]

This post and related links has the info for suited connectors, and you can apply some of this to the other hands as well.
#3
12-29-2005, 10:00 AM
 Guest Posts: n/a
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

The only stat I know off the top of my head is that you will only flop a pair or better 35% of the time. I think what you should try to do more with those hands (5/6o) is play them in late position and as cheaply as possible (unless you think you can steal the blinds). From the what the board reads, you'll have a better idea of how to play it from there (i.e. if you are open ended after the flop you have about a 32% chance of making your straight, so if you are getting at least 3 to 1 on your money you should call to see the turn etc.). If you want actual odds charts and such, almost any poker book has one, or just google it.

Good Luck.
#4
12-30-2005, 03:07 PM
 Gregg777 Junior Member Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 11
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

#5
12-30-2005, 03:36 PM
 Vuron00 Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 84
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

Smokepoker.com has screen backgrounds that have this data listed. I think it might be what you want (and they have some nice pics).
#6
12-30-2005, 05:56 PM
 BruceZ Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 1,636
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

[ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

That website is no good.

 Thread Tools Display Modes Linear Mode

 Posting Rules You may not post new threads You may not post replies You may not post attachments You may not edit your posts BB code is On Smilies are On [IMG] code is On HTML code is Off Forum Rules
 Forum Jump User Control Panel Private Messages Subscriptions Who's Online Search Forums Forums Home Two Plus Two     Two Plus Two Internet Magazine     About the Forums     MOD DISCUSSION     ISOP General Poker Discussion     Texas Hold'em     Beginners Questions     Books and Publications     Televised Poker     News, Views, and Gossip     Brick and Mortar     Home Poker     Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance     Poker Theory Limit Texas Hold'em     Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em     Medium Stakes Hold'em     Small Stakes Hold'em     Micro-Limits     Mid-High Stakes Shorthanded     Small Stakes Shorthanded PL/NL Texas Hold'em     Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em     Medium-Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em     Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em Tournament Poker     Multi-table Tournaments     One-table Tournaments Other Poker     Omaha/8     Omaha High     Stud     Other Poker Games General Gambling     Probability     Psychology     Sports Betting     Other Gambling Games     Rake Back     Computer Technical Help Internet Gambling     Internet Gambling     Internet Bonuses     Software 2+2 Communities     Other Other Topics Other Topics     Sporting Events     Politics     Science, Math, and Philosophy     The Stock Market

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:50 PM.