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  #21  
Old 01-11-2005, 04:59 PM
Womble Womble is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 324
Default Re: Did I get too scared?

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Note that I would have raised both these hands preflop so I wouldn't be in this situation. That said I would be more inclined to raise the flop with top kicker (in general) as I fear less turn cards. That also said QJo is a marginal hand and this is a marginal flop. Waiting until the turn is better because alot of times a goofy card will come on the turn and it will go bet, raise, and you have an easy fold, or the same guy bets and you do what happened here and then take a free showdown if you don't like the board. Or sometimes its checked to you anyway and then you can do whatever you want. Your equity is alot higher on the turn when a safe card hits so that's when you get your money in with the best hand. It's really a tough thing to figure out and I'm still working on it. But if you limped preflop, and don't even love your hand on the flop but feel it may be best, those are some signs it may be a good wait until the turn scenario.

-DeathDonkey

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Curiously how does raising AQ or KQ change if the same number of people are going to the flop (conceivable being in late position) and the flop action is the same?

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I can see that it changes the situation slightly but I would still wait until the turn now. You scared of someone else with a Q, also if an overcard to the Q falls you could get 2 pair and trap a better who thinks hes good.

The flush is the scary thing since there are so many players. If there were 2-(3) opponents then raising the flop would probably be better.
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  #22  
Old 01-11-2005, 04:59 PM
DeathDonkey DeathDonkey is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 83
Default Re: Did I get too scared?

It really doesn't. Maybe AQ I would just raise, but I doubt it. The thing is, the flop action would rarely be the same for me. They always check to me when I raise preflop [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

-DeathDonkey
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  #23  
Old 01-11-2005, 05:00 PM
davelin davelin is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 708
Default Re: Did I get too scared?

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It really doesn't. Maybe AQ I would just raise, but I doubt it. The thing is, the flop action would rarely be the same for me. They always check to me when I raise preflop [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

-DeathDonkey

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They rarely offer me the same courtesy [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]
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  #24  
Old 01-12-2005, 01:37 PM
Hashiell_Dammett Hashiell_Dammett is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 22
Default Re: Did I get too scared?

I just got back to this thread from yesterday and I have to respond to this one.
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This is a perfect spot to wait and raise the turn. These people are wrong. You played it great. Not raising the flop doesn't mean weak tight. There are reasons for every bet and raise and people need to quit with this "I have top pair so I'm going to be aggressive and raise" when this is just a bad spot for it.

Now quit folding overpairs and your gold! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

-DeathDonkey

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Not disagreeing but why is waiting the turn better? If Hero had AQ or KQ would you advocate a wait til turn raise?

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I have seen the light. I am scared of the flush draw and there are lots of people. I am highly likely the best hand on the flop but that could all change on the turn, my edge could increase slightly or decrease LOADS if a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] comes.



By waiting for the turn, I lose less when a scare card comes and people start raising at me. But I gain alot more when I can raise in LP and trap the whole field for 2 SB, better then the 1 SB on the flop.


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You are not losing less by waiting for the turn to raise. You are losing more. There are all sorts of scenerios where "saving a raise for the turn" can backfire on you. If there's a flush draw out there, he's not going to fold until he sees both the turn and the river. So even though the turn is not a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] it doesn't mean you're in the clear. Your pair may not even be any good as SB was allowed to limp PF and could have just about anything.
What if you raise the turn when it's a blank but then a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] hits on the river?
What if an A,K or 8 falls on the river and MP3 suddenly comes alive with a bet/raise?
What if SB 3-bets your turn raise?

Personally, I would be curious to know if my pair/kicker was any good before I start worrying about a flush draw that may or may not exist and may or may not hit. The flop is definitely the better opportunity to find this out:
A) It's cheaper
B) You have 4 passive callers between you and the lead bettor who are going to supplement your small investment.
C) Raising the flop doesn't marry you to the hand if you're not thrilled with the turn and there's a lot of action in front of you. However, raising the turn is going to marry you to the hand if you're not thrilled with the river and the lead bettor bets into you.

The whole concept of "saving a raise for the turn" leaves a bad tast in my mouth. It sounds an awful lot like slowplaying a hand that's good but not great - and that sounds like a terrible idea. I think I'm going to "save" all my raises for when I have the absolute nuts.

I think that "saving a raise for the turn" probably falls under the category of outclevering yourself. This is microlimit where ABC play works the best. In a nutshell: If you suspect you have the best hand, then raise (especially with position) and don't stop until you suspect that you no longer have the best hand, i.e. a scare card hits and/or you meet stong resistence.
But cross those bridges when you get there.

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Also, people have a habit of checking to the raiser unless they have smething good so I probably would have only got 1BB out of the field on the turn instead of 2


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This is totally a good thing. The 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] on the turn did not really help you - it just didn't hurt you because it probably helped nobody. The turn is where lose/passive players do the most folding. If raising the flop primes more people to check fold when unimproved on the turn, then that's great news for you. You don't want to trap a bunch of people into seeing the river with a very fragile pair. The more people that fold the turn, the better.

I read you KK hand too and I think you need to add a little more aggression to your game. Don't be tight passive. Aggression may cost you an extra bet or two when you get outdrawn but passive play only increases the chances that you WILL get outdrawn. No one will ever back down from your fierce calling.
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