Llabb's Locks (NBA)

[llabb]

Last night: 2-5 -2.8u
YTD: 73-66 -2.6u

Bad picks and regression to the mean both hurting me, coming back down towards 50% and horrible recently. The last couple days, my intital impressions with overnight plays were solid, going 3-1 on Tues and 2-0 on Wed, and then the followup plays on gameday were terrible, going 1-3 on Tues and 0-5 on Wed. Perhaps I should limit myself to initial strong plays on overnights, while I work through this bad stretch.

Anyway, the LAL/Uta U was taken last night, so I'll stick with that as my only side or total for the day.

Off the record, it's a light day, and I took a flyer on a couple WSEX player props, Terry +3.5 against Parker and Okur +1.5 against Odom. -115 is a lot of juice, but these lines look pretty soft. Terry is taking a lot more shots than normal and scoring a ton with Josh Howard out. Odom is streaky, is more of a passer in the Lakers scheme anyway, and goes up against a tough Utah defense, guarded by shot-blocking monster AK.

[llabb]

Early Fri plays. Have a number of them, but my own lines are several points off from these. These are all my intitial impressions, so these should be solid, as I'm not talking myself into games here. That will come tomorrow, when I have to resist taking more.

Tor +3 +109
Bos -2 +115
NOK +2 +107
Cle -4 +100
Min -2 +106

[llabb]

Fri totals:

Tor/Atl U 193 +100
Orl/Mem U 172 +104
Cle/Sea O 203.5 +103

Also like Det to blow out NY, but at -12, do not want the back door cover risk. Game could easily be a Det win in the high teens the whole game, then only win by 10. NY sucks, but their bench is competitive towards the end of games, since the rookies still have energy and everyone is fighting for a starting spot, with Larry jumbling the roster around on a regular basis. Therefore will look at Det 1H line tomorrow.

[llabb]

I lean Dallas +1 and U 94.5 in the 2nd half, but am not counting it, since I should stay away from 2nd halves.

hey llabb i like how u pick can u give me a nice 6team parlay to bet on? dont worry if it loses

do you think me betting on Cavs +3.5 was good?
YES GETTIN 3.5 WSEX had a mistake so i bet big on CAVS +3.5

[llabb]

[ QUOTE ]
hey llabb i like how u pick can u give me a nice 6team parlay to bet on? dont worry if it loses

[/ QUOTE ]
Lol, I've been horrible lately. If you're serious, thanks. If you're sarcastic, yes, I suck so far.

If you've got the rocks to bet a 6-team parlay, I'm sure you know they always lose, but it's always fun to play the lottery once in a while. Above, I have 5 picks I like for the sides for today. Add in Det, and presto, 6 picks to lose a parlay with!

[ QUOTE ]
do you think me betting on Cavs +3.5 was good?
YES GETTIN 3.5 WSEX had a mistake so i bet big on CAVS +3.5

[/ QUOTE ]
Wow, you really lucked out. Great bet, did WSEX let you keep it?

YEA
CLEVELAND +3.5 Unsettled
B 29 12/2 CLEVELAND AT SEATTLE

[llabb]

Last night: 0-1 -2u
YTD: 73-67 -4.6u

Huge card tonight, already taken last night. One more play mentioned earlier, will now take:

Det 1H -6

[llabb]

Nice bet. A lot of books will cancel the wager, citing obviously incorrect lines. Hope it cashes for you (and covers the -4 as well)!