#1
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AJ flop decision
Can't bring up converter website for some reason.
3/6 at party. Donk UTG limps. I have AJs in the CO and raise. Button is unknown and cold calls. Big blind calls. Flop comes K44r, none of my suit. Checked to me, and I bet. Button raises. Folded to me. Do I peel here? Do I bet the flop into this big field? |
#2
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Re: AJ flop decision
[ QUOTE ]
Do I peel here? [/ QUOTE ] No. You have 2.5 outs on average. [ QUOTE ] Do I bet the flop into this big field? [/ QUOTE ] That depends on your grasp of the opponents. You may want to throw a bet out there for fold equity, but if you get any resistance, prepare to surrender. |
#3
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Re: AJ flop decision
I would think we have more than 2.5 outs -- villain could easily have a medium PP, and very rarely have a 4. AK seems unlikely, more likely KQ or KJ. More like 3 or 6 outs in most instances, average 4ish to be on the safe side. Getting 11:1? it's bang on borderline. Given that if we hit the Jack it could just cost us more money, I just fold it and move on.
Easy flop bet into 3 opponents on this board - it's pretty unlikely to have hit anyone, your getting good odds, and it's a "believable" bluff. They don't have to fold that often, but they will more than enough. |
#4
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Re: AJ flop decision
I agree with Stigmata. It is much closer than 2.5 outs. Since we probably don't have much in the way of implied odds if an A comes, and there is the prospect of reverse implied odds with a J, I think a fold is good here.
WiteKnite |
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