good spot to steal from limpers, or just asking for it... stars 10+1

[bholdr]

I felt like this was a good spot... good/no good?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP1 (t5973)
MP2 (t4460)
MP3 (t5793)
CO (t6085)
Button (t10364)
SB (t5045)
Hero (t8581)
UTG (t15023)
UTG+1 (t30402)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls t400, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls t400, Button calls t400, SB completes, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises (all-in) to t8581</font>

Final Pot: t10181

[flyingmoose]

I like it. Only the button can bust you and it's very unlikely he calls this.

[DJ Sensei]

Yes, I think its very unlikely you get called here, so pushing is a +EV play.

The question is, is checking and hoping to catch a set a higher +EV play?

I think its fairly close, and i'd decide based on recent table image. If you've been playing very tight, I think a push is fine. If you've been playing more loosely and aggressively, you'll get called more often (generally by hands that dominate you or coinflips) so I'd check and see a flop.

(sure its a 10+1, but there is probably somebody at the table paying attention, and if he has 88, you need to make a smart decision)