probability question (pertaining to SM+P)

[maurile]

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We are discussing Hume and Kant in class. Basically Hume says just because an event has happened one billion times out of one billion (ex. the sun rising) it will not necessarily happen again. Kant says it will.

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Kant can't be that stupid.

Just because haven't died in my sleep yet doesn't mean I won't.

Anyway, the answer to the question is that there is no answer. It's a Bayes' Theorem problem, but the values you use for your prior probabilities are subjective.