Another A-A hand, overbet

LetYouDown · #1 11-23-2005, 01:58 PM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed)

MP2 ($24.25)
MP3 ($24.75)
CO ($24.65)
Button ($15.28)
SB ($19.65)
BB ($39.90)
Hero ($23.35)
UTG+1 ($36.45)
UTG+2 ($14.80)
MP1 ($36.20)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
Hero raises to $1.5, 2 folds, MP1 calls $1.50, 6 folds.

Flop: ($3.35) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $2.5, MP1 calls $34.70 (All-In), Hero ????

Mercman572 · #2 11-23-2005, 02:00 PM

No read I fold, probably the best hand too. This is one of the times when I sacrafice some marginal EV when I know a loss will ruin my session due to tilt afterward

beavens · #3 11-23-2005, 02:00 PM

insta-call forme.

wslee00 · #4 11-23-2005, 02:05 PM

flush draw, straight draw, straight+flush draw, or set
The two hands that you are beating are flush draw and straight draw, str8+flush draw you are slight dog, set - you are big dog

i didn't calculate the EV and stuff, but this looks like a break-even situation, so I pass.

LetYouDown · #5 11-23-2005, 02:08 PM

You eliminate something marginal such as A-Q from his holdings?

Morrek · #6 11-23-2005, 02:10 PM

I've seen air here quite a few times... hard to fold on this level

beavens · #7 11-23-2005, 02:13 PM

i'm definitely thinking he's got Qx/xh, Qx/xx or xh/xh

Morrek · #8 11-23-2005, 02:21 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i'm definitely thinking he's got Qx/xh, Qx/xx or xh/xh

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah.. sets are a small possibility too, maybe 20-25%? Maybe some random 2pair too like another 10%, but I really think you're ahead alot here and he just wants you out of the pot

beavens · #9 11-23-2005, 02:27 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i'm definitely thinking he's got Qx/xh, Qx/xx or xh/xh

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah.. sets are a small possibility too, maybe 20-25%? Maybe some random 2pair too like another 10%, but I really think you're ahead alot here and he just wants you out of the pot

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed.. sets are a possibility.

if he's got a set - then i draw to my 2 outs and probably get stacked - nh.

LetYouDown · #10 11-23-2005, 02:30 PM

[ QUOTE ]
he just wants you out of the pot

[/ QUOTE ]
The pot isn't exactly a monster. I dunno why he'd be willing to risk an entire buy-in to steal one medium pot.