#1
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A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
I hate the way I played this. I'm thinking I should have gone all-in on the turn? Thoughts?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) converter Hero ($23.40) Button ($4.80) SB ($18.60) BB ($1.10) UTG ($10.40) MP ($17.25) Preflop: Hero is CO with 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10. UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, Button calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $0.85 (All-In), UTG calls $0.85, MP calls $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, Button folds. Flop: ($4.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players, 1 all-in)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $2</font>, MP folds, Hero calls $2. Turn: ($8.75) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 1 all-in)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $5</font>, Hero calls $5. |
#2
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
Fold the flop. Even if you stack him every time you hit you do not have odds.
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#3
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
Fold flop?
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#4
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
Fold preflop. Twice.
And then fold after the flop. You have a gutshot straight draw right there. 4 outs. You are ~10:1 to hit that card on the turn. Implied odds say that to call $2 there you need to make $20 on that call to make it a break even EV (more to make it +EV). There's $6.75 in the pot and UTG has ~$7 left behind, so no way you can you call that as you will never make enough to make it worth your while. Calling with gutshots is almost always -EV. As played, you caught a heart on the turn. Now you have 9 flush outs and 3 2's for a total of 12 outs to improve your hand. You are about 3:1 to make your hand which will probably be the winner. That $5 needs to make you over $15 to make it a profitable call. Given that UTG has about $2 left behind and the pot is $13.75, it is extremely marginal to make that call there also. |
#5
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
Ugh... fold 45s on the CO because the button still has to act?
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#6
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
[ QUOTE ]
Ugh... fold 45s on the CO because the button still has to act? [/ QUOTE ] "The experts" say that sc's under 76s aren't really worth it to play. I usually follow that advice. |
#7
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
Fold preflop, fold flop. The stack sizes are too small to justify a call. You don't have enough outs. See implied odds for explanation. Call here would be okay if he had $25 at beginning, but he only had $10.
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#8
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Re: A gutshot and flush draw on the turn
Fold flop because its protected and UTG has no money to pay you with.
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